Celje
Egnatia Rrogozhinë⚽ UEFA Champions League
Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 28 July 2026, 18:15 UTC.
Result: Celje 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.36, landed.
Celje face Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 28 July 2026, 18:15 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celje win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 2.2-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 13.9% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.36, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celje win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (57%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Wins shown from Celje’s perspective: 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Celje | 1 – 1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | D |
| 2026-07-22 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 – 3 | Celje | D |
📈 Recent form
Celje come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.
- DMura 0-0 Celje1. SNL
- LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League
- LBravo 2-1 Celje1. SNL
- LCelje 0-1 Koper1. SNL
- LBrinje-Grosuplje 4-1 Celje1. SNL
Egnatia Rrogozhinë come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Vora. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at AF Elbasani.
- WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 PartizaniSuperliga
- LAF Elbasani 2-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga
- WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Skenderbeu KorceSuperliga
- WVora 1-3 Egnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga
- DLillestrom 1-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Celje at 48% to win and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Celje win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje Win | 48% | 71% | @ 1.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 18% | @ 5.10 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win | 24% | 11% | @ 8.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celje or Draw at 1.06 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje or Draw | 77% | 89% | @ 1.06 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw | 47% | 29% | @ 3.05 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 78% | @ 1.18 |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 64% | @ 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 43% | @ 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 22% | @ 4.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 57% | 53% | @ 1.72 |
| BTTS Yes | 43% | 47% | @ 1.97 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Celje or Egnatia Rrogozhinë is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +2 | 79% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Celje +0.5 | 77% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.75 | 74% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Celje +0.25 | 71% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.5 | 70% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Celje 0 | 65% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25 | 64% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Celje -0.25 | 59% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1 | 59% | 42% | @ 2.22 |
| Celje -0.5 | 53% | 68% | 1.36 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.75 | 53% | 37% | @ 2.56 |
| Celje -0.75 | 47% | 63% | 1.49 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5 | 47% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Celje -1 | 41% | 58% | 1.63 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25 | 41% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
| Celje -1.25 | 36% | 50% | 1.90 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 | 35% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Celje -1.5 | 30% | 46% | 2.04 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.25 | 29% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Celje -1.75 | 26% | 38% | 2.46 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.5 | 23% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Celje -2 | 21% | 31% | 3.08 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our model's main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.36, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our model makes a Celje win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 2.2-0.7 scoreline for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.24 for Celje and 0.65 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhinë play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 28 July 2026, 18:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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