Cesena

Sat 12 Sep2-2Finished

Cremonese

⚽ Serie B

Cesena vs Cremonese Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cesena vs Cremonese in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cesena 2-2 Cremonese

Cesena vs Cremonese finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, landed.

Cesena face Cremonese in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Cesena have 1 win from their last 5, while Cremonese have 1 win from their last 3. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cesena vs Cremonese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.28

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.31 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	9.4%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
1	9.2%	12.4%	8.3%	3.8%	1.3%
2	6.0%	8.1%	5.5%	2.5%	0.8%
3	2.6%	3.5%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Cesena winDrawCremonese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cesena vs Cremonese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

50%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Cesena

Cesena come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Virtus Entella. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DJuve Stabia 1-1 CesenaSerie B
DCesena 2-2 CremoneseSerie B
DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
WVirtus Entella 1-2 CesenaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 SampdoriaSerie B

Cremonese

Cremonese come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Padova. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Modena.

DCremonese 0-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
DCesena 2-2 CremoneseSerie B
WCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B
WParma 0-2 CremoneseCoppa Italia
LCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cremonese or Draw at 1.33 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cremonese or Draw	64%	71%	@ 1.33
Cesena or Draw	62%	59%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	73%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	72%	72%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	50%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	50%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	28%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	26%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	46%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Cesena 29%Draw 29%Cremonese 41%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Cremonese?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Cremonese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.31 for Cesena and 1.35 for Cremonese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cesena and Cremonese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.