⚽ Serie B

Cesena vs Mantova Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cesena vs Mantova in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cesena 1-1 Mantova

Cesena vs Mantova finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.30, landed.

Cesena face Mantova in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Cesena have 1 win from their last 5, while Mantova have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mantova win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.4-2.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cesena vs Mantova with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

90%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.35 – 2.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	5.1%	6.6%	5.6%	3.6%
1	2.7%	6.9%	8.8%	7.6%	4.9%
2	1.8%	4.6%	6.0%	5.1%	3.3%
3	0.8%	2.1%	2.7%	2.3%	1.5%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

Cesena winDrawMantova win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cesena vs Mantova is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 90%. On the match result, the model rates a Mantova win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (68%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Mantova win at odds 2.88 (+80.2% model value).

Best value

Mantova Win at odds 2.88, 63% model probability, +80.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Cesena 19%Draw 18%Mantova 63%

19%18%63%

63%

Mantova Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

+80.2%

Best value: Mantova Win

📈 Recent form

Cesena

Cesena come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Virtus Entella. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Sassuolo.

DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
WVirtus Entella 1-2 CesenaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LSassuolo 3-0 CesenaCoppa Italia
DForli 0-0 CesenaFriendlies Clubs

Mantova

Mantova come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Empoli. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at Palermo.

DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
LPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B
WCarrarese 1-2 MantovaSerie B
WLazio 0-2 MantovaCoppa Italia

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cesena at 19% to win and Mantova at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Mantova win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mantova Win	63%	@ 2.88	+80.2%
Draw	18%	@ 3.10	-43.5%
Cesena Win	19%	@ 2.45	-53.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mantova or Draw at 1.53 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mantova or Draw	83%	@ 1.53	+26.5%
Cesena or Draw	39%	@ 1.40	-45.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	55%	@ 3.40	+87.1%
Over 2.5	75%	@ 2.00	+49.9%
Over 1.5	90%	@ 1.30	+17.3%
Under 3.5	45%	@ 1.30	-41.6%
Under 2.5	25%	@ 1.80	-54.9%
Under 1.5	10%	@ 3.40	-66.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	68%	@ 1.75	+18.4%
BTTS No	32%	@ 2.00	-35.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Mantova?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 90% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Mantova win at 2.88 (+80.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Mantova?

Our model makes a Mantova win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.6 scoreline for Cesena vs Mantova.

What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Mantova?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Cesena and 2.57 for Mantova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cesena and Mantova play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.