Cesena

Sun 23 Aug1-1Finished

Sampdoria

⚽ Serie B

Cesena vs Sampdoria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cesena vs Sampdoria in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cesena 1-1 Sampdoria

Cesena vs Sampdoria finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Cesena face Sampdoria in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cesena vs Sampdoria with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.86 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	15.4%	8.9%	3.4%	1.0%
1	11.5%	13.3%	7.6%	2.9%	0.8%
2	5.0%	5.7%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
3	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Cesena winDrawSampdoria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cesena vs Sampdoria comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 86% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points no (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

67%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Cesena and Sampdoria. Wins shown from Cesena’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Cesena	1 – 1	Sampdoria	D
2026-04-25	Cesena	0 – 0	Sampdoria	D

📈 Recent form

Cesena

Cesena come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Virtus Entella. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DJuve Stabia 1-1 CesenaSerie B
DCesena 2-2 CremoneseSerie B
DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
WVirtus Entella 1-2 CesenaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 SampdoriaSerie B

Sampdoria

Sampdoria come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Catanzaro. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mantova.

WSampdoria 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
LMantova 2-0 SampdoriaSerie B
LPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LSampdoria 1-2 Juve StabiaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 SampdoriaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sampdoria or Draw at 1.50 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sampdoria or Draw	71%	61%	@ 1.50
Cesena or Draw	55%	68%	@ 1.34

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	86%	73%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	67%	54%	@ 1.68
Over 1.5	60%	69%	@ 1.32
Under 1.5	40%	31%	@ 3.00
Over 2.5	33%	46%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	14%	27%	@ 3.45

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	61%	49%	@ 1.87
BTTS Yes	39%	51%	@ 1.77

📈 How the market moved

Cesena 38%Draw 29%Sampdoria 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Sampdoria?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Sampdoria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.86 for Cesena and 1.15 for Sampdoria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cesena and Sampdoria play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.