⚽ Championship

Charlton vs Preston Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs Preston in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Charlton face Preston in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have 3 wins from their last 5, while Preston have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs Preston with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.38

83%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.59 – 1.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	6.6%	5.3%	2.8%	1.1%
1	6.5%	10.5%	8.4%	4.5%	1.8%
2	5.2%	8.3%	6.7%	3.6%	1.4%
3	2.8%	4.4%	3.5%	1.9%	0.8%
4	1.1%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Charlton winDrawPreston win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlton vs Preston is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Charlton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (63%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.15 (+32.9% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.15, 62% model probability, +32.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Charlton 39%Draw 28%Preston 33%

39%28%33%

39%

Charlton Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

+32.9%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Cheltenham. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at Tottenham.

LTottenham 5-1 CharltonLeague Cup
WWest Ham 1-2 CharltonChampionship
WCharlton 2-1 DerbyChampionship
WCheltenham 1-3 CharltonLeague Cup
LReading 3-0 CharltonFriendlies Clubs

Preston

Preston come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Everton.

LPreston 0-4 EvertonLeague Cup
LPreston 1-3 WolvesChampionship
LBolton 2-1 PrestonChampionship
LStockport County 1-0 PrestonFriendlies Clubs
LBradford 3-2 PrestonFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Charlton

K. RamsayAnkle Injury
J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
M. GoddenNot in squad
C. KelmanShoulder Injury
W. MannionNot in squad

Preston

B. PottsAnkle Injury
T. CarrollAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlton at 39% to win and Preston at 33%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Preston Win	33%	@ 3.25	+6.2%
Draw	28%	@ 3.25	-9.2%
Charlton Win	39%	@ 2.20	-13.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Preston or Draw at 1.62 (60% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Preston or Draw	60%	@ 1.62	-3.1%
Charlton or Draw	66%	@ 1.33	-11.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	40%	@ 4.00	+58.1%
Over 2.5	62%	@ 2.15	+32.9%
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.38	+14.2%
Under 3.5	60%	@ 1.22	-26.2%
Under 2.5	38%	@ 1.67	-36.2%
Under 1.5	17%	@ 2.95	-49.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	63%	@ 1.90	+20.5%
BTTS No	37%	@ 1.85	-32.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	39%
Dixon-Coles	Away	40%
GradientBoosting	Home	40%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.37 for the home side, 1.23 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs Preston?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, with 83% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.15 (+32.9% value).

Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Preston?

Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Charlton vs Preston.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Preston?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for Charlton and 1.60 for Preston. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlton and Preston play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.