Wed 9 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Championship

Charlton vs QPR Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Charlton vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Charlton 0-0 QPR

Charlton vs QPR finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Charlton face QPR in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Charlton have 3 wins from their last 4, while QPR have 3 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Charlton vs QPR with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Charlton +1 @ 1.28
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.38 – 1.29 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8%
1 9.6% 12.3% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1%
2 6.6% 8.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
3 3.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Charlton winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Charlton vs QPR comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Charlton with a +1 start at odds 1.28, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charlton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Charlton 38%Draw 30%QPR 32%
38%30%32%
38%
Charlton Win
50%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Cardiff.

  • LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
  • DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
  • DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
  • LStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
  • DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
QPR

QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.

  • DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
  • DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
  • DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
  • LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
  • WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Charlton
  • N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
  • J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
  • M. GoddenMuscle Injury
  • C. KelmanShoulder Injury
  • B. KoumetioMuscle Injury
  • W. MannionShoulder Injury
  • D. McNamaraSuspended (red card)
  • K. RamsayAnkle Injury
QPR
  • I. ChairInjury
  • K. DembeleKnee Injury
  • B. KemperAnkle Injury
  • R. KoneInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Charlton at 38% to win and QPR at 32%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charlton Win 38% 31% @ 3.00
QPR Win 32% 41% @ 2.30
Draw 30% 28% @ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlton or Draw at 1.58 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charlton or Draw 66% 59% @ 1.58
QPR or Draw 60% 69% @ 1.37

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% 71% @ 1.30
Under 3.5 72% 74% @ 1.26
Under 2.5 50% 53% @ 1.75
Over 2.5 50% 47% @ 1.98
Over 3.5 28% 26% @ 3.55
Under 1.5 25% 29% @ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 54% 53% @ 1.74
BTTS No 46% 47% @ 1.98

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Charlton or QPR is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Charlton +1.75 88% 84% 1.13
Charlton +1.5 86% 79% @ 1.20
QPR +1.5 82% 86% 1.11
Charlton +1.25 81% 77% @ 1.24
QPR +1.25 76% 85% 1.12
Charlton +1 76% 74% 1.28
Charlton +0.75 71% 65% @ 1.46
QPR +1 71% 83% 1.14
Charlton +0.5 66% 58% @ 1.62
QPR +0.75 66% 76% 1.26
QPR +0.5 60% 69% 1.36
Charlton +0.25 60% 52% @ 1.86
QPR +0.25 54% 65% 1.48
Charlton 0 53% 42% @ 2.26
QPR 0 47% 58% 1.63
Charlton -0.25 46% 35% @ 2.70
QPR -0.25 40% 48% 2.01
Charlton -0.5 40% 31% @ 3.03
Charlton -0.75 34% 24% @ 3.90
QPR -0.5 34% 42% 2.23
Charlton -1 29% 17% @ 5.75
QPR -0.75 29% 35% 2.74
QPR -1 24% 26% 3.63
Charlton -1.25 24% 15% @ 6.25
QPR -1.25 19% 23% 4.10
Charlton -1.5 18% 14% @ 6.60
QPR -1.5 14% 21% 4.40
QPR -1.75 12% 16% 5.90

📈 How the market moved

24%35%46%09/0709/0809/09

Charlton 30%Draw 28%QPR 41%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs QPR?

Our model's main pick is Charlton with a +1 start at odds 1.28, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Charlton vs QPR?

Our model makes a Charlton win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Charlton vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Charlton and 1.29 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Charlton and QPR play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 09 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.