Sat 12 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Premier League

Chelsea vs Hull City Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chelsea vs Hull City in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Chelsea 2-2 Hull City

Chelsea vs Hull City finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, both teams to score at 1.91, landed.

Chelsea face Hull City in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Chelsea have 2 wins from their last 3, while Hull City have 2 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chelsea vs Hull City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Hull City +2 @ 1.84

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.88 – 1.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	5.4%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%
1	7.6%	10.1%	6.7%	3.0%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.5%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
3	4.5%	5.9%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%
4	2.1%	2.8%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Chelsea winDrawHull City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Hull City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.84, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Chelsea win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Chelsea 46%Draw 26%Hull City 28%

46%26%28%

46%

Chelsea Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Chelsea

Chelsea come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 6-3 at home to Leeds. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Brentford.

LBrentford 3-0 ChelseaPremier League
DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
WChelsea 6-3 LeedsLeague Cup
LArsenal 2-1 ChelseaPremier League
WChelsea 4-3 BrightonPremier League

Hull City

Hull City come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Coventry. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Newcastle.

LNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
LSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
DHull City 0-0 Aston VillaPremier League
WCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Chelsea

M. CaicedoInjury
E. EmeghaInjury
J. HendersonWrist Injury
M. PalestraInjury

Hull City

I. AnsahBack Injury
J. ButlandArm Injury
D. GyabiGroin Injury
C. HughesGroin Injury
E. MatazoKnee Injury
H. MoritaCalf Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Chelsea at 46% to win and Hull City at 28%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Chelsea win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Chelsea Win	46%	77%	@ 1.22
Hull City Win	28%	9%	@ 11.00
Draw	26%	14%	@ 6.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Chelsea or Draw at 1.05 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Chelsea or Draw	72%	91%	@ 1.05
Hull City or Draw	54%	23%	@ 4.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	62%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	60%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	40%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	38%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	17%	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	38%	50%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Chelsea or Hull City is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hull City +2	84%	52%	@ 1.84
Hull City +1.75	80%	46%	@ 2.08
Hull City +1.5	77%	41%	@ 2.31
Hull City +1.25	71%	35%	@ 2.73
Hull City +1	65%	27%	@ 3.51
Hull City +0.75	60%	25%	@ 3.85
Hull City +0.5	54%	23%	@ 4.15
Chelsea -0.25	53%	83%	1.14
Hull City +0.25	47%	17%	@ 5.75
Chelsea -0.5	46%	77%	1.22
Chelsea -0.75	40%	75%	1.26
Chelsea -1	35%	73%	1.30
Chelsea -1.25	29%	65%	1.45
Chelsea -1.5	23%	59%	1.61
Chelsea -1.75	20%	54%	1.76
Chelsea -2	16%	48%	2.02

📈 How the market moved

Chelsea 77%Draw 15%Hull City 8%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Hull City?

Our model's main pick is Hull City with a +2 start at odds 1.84, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 52%.

Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Hull City?

Our model makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Chelsea vs Hull City.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Hull City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Chelsea and 1.33 for Hull City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Chelsea and Hull City play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.