⚽ Premier League

Chelsea vs Hull City Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chelsea vs Hull City in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Chelsea face Hull City in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Chelsea have 2 wins from their last 3, while Hull City have 2 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chelsea vs Hull City with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.91

62%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.88 – 1.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	5.4%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%
1	7.6%	10.1%	6.7%	3.0%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.5%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
3	4.5%	5.9%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%
4	2.1%	2.8%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Chelsea winDrawHull City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Hull City is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.91, the selection our model is most confident in at 62%. On the match result, the model rates a Chelsea win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.91, 62% model probability, +19.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Chelsea 46%Draw 26%Hull City 28%

46%26%28%

46%

Chelsea Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+19.0%

Best value: BTTS Yes

📈 Recent form

Chelsea

Chelsea come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-3 at home to Leeds. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Arsenal.

WChelsea 6-3 LeedsLeague Cup
LArsenal 2-1 ChelseaPremier League
WChelsea 4-3 BrightonPremier League
WChelsea 2-0 LutonLeague Cup
WFulham 2-3 ChelseaPremier League

Hull City

Hull City come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Manchester United. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Sunderland.

LSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
DHull City 0-0 Aston VillaPremier League
WCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League
DStoke City 1-1 Hull CityLeague Cup
WHull City 2-0 Manchester UnitedPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Chelsea

M. CaicedoInjury
E. EmeghaInjury
J. HendersonWrist Injury
M. PalestraInjury

Hull City

I. AnsahBack Injury
J. ButlandArm Injury
D. GyabiGroin Injury
C. HughesGroin Injury
E. MatazoKnee Injury
H. MoritaCalf Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Chelsea at 46% to win and Hull City at 28%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Chelsea win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Hull City Win	28%	@ 11.00	+210.0%
Draw	26%	@ 6.50	+66.2%
Chelsea Win	46%	@ 1.22	-43.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hull City or Draw at 4.00 (54% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Hull City or Draw	54%	@ 4.00	+115.4%
Chelsea or Draw	72%	@ 1.05	-24.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	38%	@ 3.00	+13.4%
Under 3.5	60%	@ 1.80	+8.1%
Under 1.5	17%	@ 6.00	+2.0%
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.12	-7.0%
Over 2.5	62%	@ 1.40	-12.9%
Over 3.5	40%	@ 2.00	-20.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.91	+19.0%
BTTS No	38%	@ 1.91	-28.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Hull City?

Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.91, with 62% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Hull City?

Our model makes a Chelsea win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Chelsea vs Hull City.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Hull City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Chelsea and 1.33 for Hull City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Chelsea and Hull City play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.