vs
⚽ UEFA Champions League
Como vs RB Leipzig Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Como vs RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Como 4-1 RB Leipzig
Como vs RB Leipzig finished 4-1. Como won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, RB Leipzig Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.38, did not land.
Como face RB Leipzig in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Como win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Como vs RB Leipzig with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Como vs RB Leipzig is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is RB Leipzig Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.38, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is RB Leipzig with a +0.25 start at odds 2.42 (+22.4% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Como come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Liverpool.
- WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
- WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
- WNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A
- DUdinese 1-1 ComoSerie A
- LLiverpool 2-0 ComoFriendlies Clubs
RB Leipzig come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Eintracht Trier. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Como.
- LComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
- LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- WEintracht Trier 0-6 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
- LBayern München 3-1 RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. AddaiAchilles Tendon Injury
- M. CaqueretOff the roster
- E. GoldanigaOff the roster
- W. KambwalaOff the roster
- A. LahdoOff the roster
- M. VigoritoOff the roster
- C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
- V. GebelKnee Injury
- A. KoneOff the roster
- R. ReitzMuscle Injury
- L. ZingerleOff the roster
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Como at 38% to win and RB Leipzig at 26%, with the draw at 36%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36% | @ 4.00 | +44.9% |
| RB Leipzig Win | 26% | @ 4.10 | +6.7% |
| Como Win | 38% | @ 1.80 | -32.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Leipzig or Draw at 2.00 (57% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig or Draw | 57% | @ 2.00 | +14.4% |
| Como or Draw | 69% | @ 1.23 | -15.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 21% | @ 5.20 | +8.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | @ 2.45 | +7.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | @ 1.58 | +4.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | @ 1.16 | -8.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | @ 1.55 | -12.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | @ 2.38 | -19.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 42% | @ 2.40 | +0.1% |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | @ 1.54 | -10.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Como or RB Leipzig is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig -1 | 22% | @ 7.00 | +53.4% |
| RB Leipzig -0.25 | 38% | @ 3.58 | +34.7% |
| RB Leipzig +0.25 | 51% | @ 2.42 | +22.4% |
| RB Leipzig -1.25 | 17% | @ 7.00 | +21.2% |
| RB Leipzig -0.5 | 31% | @ 3.89 | +21.0% |
| RB Leipzig +0.75 | 63% | @ 1.84 | +15.8% |
| RB Leipzig +0.5 | 57% | @ 2.01 | +15.0% |
| RB Leipzig +1.25 | 74% | @ 1.49 | +9.8% |
| RB Leipzig +1.5 | 80% | @ 1.38 | +9.7% |
| RB Leipzig +1 | 68% | @ 1.60 | +9.4% |
| RB Leipzig +1.75 | 83% | @ 1.28 | +5.8% |
| RB Leipzig +2 | 86% | @ 1.17 | +0.5% |
| Como +1.5 | 87% | 1.07 | -6.6% |
| Como +1.25 | 83% | 1.10 | -9.1% |
| Como +0.75 | 74% | 1.20 | -12.2% |
| Como +1 | 78% | 1.10 | -14.1% |
| Como +0.5 | 69% | 1.24 | -14.3% |
| Como +0.25 | 62% | 1.30 | -18.9% |
| Como -0.25 | 49% | 1.58 | -22.1% |
| Como 0 | 56% | 1.39 | -22.4% |
| Como -0.5 | 43% | 1.77 | -24.0% |
| Como -0.75 | 37% | 2.03 | -24.4% |
| Como -1 | 32% | 2.38 | -24.8% |
| Como -2 | 14% | 5.00 | -29.3% |
| Como -1.25 | 26% | 2.67 | -30.3% |
| Como -1.75 | 17% | 3.67 | -36.6% |
| Como -1.5 | 20% | 2.99 | -38.8% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Como vs RB Leipzig?
Our main pick is RB Leipzig Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.38, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is RB Leipzig with a +0.25 start at 2.42 (+22.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Como vs RB Leipzig?
Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Como vs RB Leipzig.
What is the predicted score for Como vs RB Leipzig?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Como and 1.27 for RB Leipzig. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Como and RB Leipzig play?
Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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