⚽ UEFA Champions League
Como vs RB Leipzig Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Como vs RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Como 4-1 RB Leipzig
Como vs RB Leipzig finished 4-1. Como won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, RB Leipzig Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.38, did not land.
Como face RB Leipzig in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Como win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Como vs RB Leipzig with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Como vs RB Leipzig comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is RB Leipzig Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.38, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Como come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Frosinone.
- LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
- WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
- WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
- WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
- WNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A
RB Leipzig come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Hamburger SV. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.
- LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
- LComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
- LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. AddaiAchilles Tendon Injury
- M. CaqueretOff the roster
- E. GoldanigaOff the roster
- W. KambwalaOff the roster
- A. LahdoOff the roster
- M. VigoritoOff the roster
- C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
- V. GebelKnee Injury
- A. KoneOff the roster
- R. ReitzMuscle Injury
- L. ZingerleOff the roster
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Como at 38% to win and RB Leipzig at 26%, with the draw at 36%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como Win | 38% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Draw | 36% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| RB Leipzig Win | 26% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.23 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como or Draw | 69% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| RB Leipzig or Draw | 57% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 39% | @ 2.45 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 18% | @ 5.20 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Como or RB Leipzig is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como +1.5 | 87% | – | 1.07 |
| RB Leipzig +2 | 86% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| RB Leipzig +1.75 | 83% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Como +1.25 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| RB Leipzig +1.5 | 80% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Como +1 | 78% | 86% | 1.10 |
| RB Leipzig +1.25 | 74% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Como +0.75 | 74% | – | 1.20 |
| Como +0.5 | 69% | 76% | 1.24 |
| RB Leipzig +1 | 68% | 60% | @ 1.60 |
| RB Leipzig +0.75 | 63% | 52% | @ 1.84 |
| Como +0.25 | 62% | 73% | 1.30 |
| RB Leipzig +0.5 | 57% | 47% | @ 2.01 |
| Como 0 | 56% | – | 1.39 |
| RB Leipzig +0.25 | 51% | 40% | @ 2.42 |
| Como -0.25 | 49% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Como -0.5 | 43% | 53% | 1.77 |
| RB Leipzig -0.25 | 38% | 27% | @ 3.58 |
| Como -0.75 | 37% | 48% | 2.03 |
| Como -1 | 32% | 40% | 2.38 |
| RB Leipzig -0.5 | 31% | 24% | @ 3.89 |
| Como -1.25 | 26% | 36% | 2.67 |
| RB Leipzig -1 | 22% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Como -1.5 | 20% | 32% | 2.99 |
| Como -1.75 | 17% | 26% | 3.67 |
| RB Leipzig -1.25 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Como -2 | 14% | 19% | 5.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Como vs RB Leipzig?
Our model's main pick is RB Leipzig Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.38, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Como vs RB Leipzig?
Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Como vs RB Leipzig.
What is the predicted score for Como vs RB Leipzig?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Como and 1.27 for RB Leipzig. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Como and RB Leipzig play?
Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
VfL Wolfsburgvs
1. FC Heidenheim2. BundesligaSat 17 Oct11:00
Evertonvs
ChelseaPremier LeagueSat 17 Oct11:30
Nantesvs
DunkerqueLigue 2Sat 17 Oct12:00
Espanyolvs
Atletico MadridLa LigaEspanyol Asian Handicap +1.75@ 1.30Sat 17 Oct12:00
Veneziavs
NapoliSerie ASat 17 Oct13:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.vs
GalatasaraySüper LigSat 17 Oct13:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.