⚽ Segunda División

Cordoba vs Almeria Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cordoba vs Almeria in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cordoba face Almeria in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Cordoba have 1 win from their last 3, while Almeria have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cordoba vs Almeria with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.68

64%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.69 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	6.2%	5.3%	3.0%	1.3%
1	5.9%	10.0%	8.5%	4.8%	2.0%
2	4.8%	8.1%	6.8%	3.8%	1.6%
3	2.6%	4.3%	3.7%	2.1%	0.9%
4	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	0.8%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Cordoba winDrawAlmeria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cordoba vs Almeria is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates an Almeria win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.68, 64% model probability, +7.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Cordoba 38%Draw 22%Almeria 39%

38%22%39%

39%

Almeria Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+7.6%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Cordoba

Cordoba come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Girona. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Sabadell.

LSabadell 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
LCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División
WCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División
LBurgos 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
LCordoba 0-4 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sabadell.

WAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
LSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
LTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-0 EldenseSegunda División
WCordoba 0-4 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cordoba at 38% to win and Almeria at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Almeria Win	39%	@ 2.70	+5.9%
Cordoba Win	38%	@ 2.32	-10.8%
Draw	22%	@ 3.35	-25.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Almeria or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Almeria or Draw	64%	@ 1.50	-4.6%
Cordoba or Draw	63%	@ 1.38	-13.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	42%	@ 2.65	+11.2%
Over 2.5	64%	@ 1.68	+7.6%
Over 1.5	84%	@ 1.19	+0.1%
Under 3.5	58%	@ 1.40	-18.8%
Under 2.5	36%	@ 2.04	-26.7%
Under 1.5	16%	@ 4.00	-36.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.54	-4.9%
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.23	-14.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cordoba vs Almeria?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with 64% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Cordoba vs Almeria?

Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline for Cordoba vs Almeria.

What is the predicted score for Cordoba vs Almeria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Cordoba and 1.69 for Almeria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cordoba and Almeria play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.