Cordoba

Sat 12 Sep0-2Finished

Almeria

⚽ Segunda División

Cordoba vs Almeria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cordoba vs Almeria in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Cordoba 0-2 Almeria

Cordoba vs Almeria finished 0-2. Almeria won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.68, did not land.

Cordoba face Almeria in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Cordoba have 1 win from their last 3, while Almeria have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, Almeria won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cordoba vs Almeria with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.68

64%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.69 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.7%	6.2%	5.3%	3.0%	1.3%
1	5.9%	10.0%	8.5%	4.8%	2.0%
2	4.8%	8.1%	6.8%	3.8%	1.6%
3	2.6%	4.3%	3.7%	2.1%	0.9%
4	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	0.8%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Cordoba winDrawAlmeria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cordoba vs Almeria comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with a 64% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Almeria win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Cordoba 38%Draw 22%Almeria 39%

38%22%39%

39%

Almeria Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Cordoba and Almeria. Wins shown from Cordoba’s perspective: Almeria 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Cordoba	0 – 2	Almeria	L
2026-08-07	Cordoba	0 – 4	Almeria	L

📈 Recent form

Cordoba

Cordoba come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Albacete. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Almeria.

WAlbacete 1-2 CordobaSegunda División
LCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
LSabadell 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
LCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División
WCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Eldense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sabadell.

WCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
LSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
LTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-0 EldenseSegunda División

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Cordoba at 38% to win and Almeria at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Almeria Win	39%	34%	@ 2.70
Cordoba Win	38%	39%	@ 2.32
Draw	22%	27%	@ 3.35

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Almeria or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Almeria or Draw	64%	61%	@ 1.50
Cordoba or Draw	63%	66%	@ 1.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	77%	@ 1.19
Over 2.5	64%	55%	@ 1.68
Under 3.5	58%	65%	@ 1.40
Over 3.5	42%	35%	@ 2.65
Under 2.5	36%	45%	@ 2.04
Under 1.5	16%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	59%	@ 1.54
BTTS No	38%	41%	@ 2.23

📈 How the market moved

Cordoba 39%Draw 27%Almeria 34%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cordoba vs Almeria?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with a 64% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

Who is the favourite for Cordoba vs Almeria?

Our model makes an Almeria win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.7 scoreline for Cordoba vs Almeria.

What is the predicted score for Cordoba vs Almeria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for Cordoba and 1.69 for Almeria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cordoba and Almeria play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.