CordobaCordoba
Fri 21 Aug2-1Finished
GironaGirona

⚽ Segunda División

Cordoba vs Girona Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cordoba vs Girona in the Segunda División. Kick-off Friday 21 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Cordoba 2-1 Girona

Cordoba vs Girona finished 2-1. Cordoba won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Cordoba face Girona in the Segunda División, kicking off Friday 21 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cordoba vs Girona with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Cordoba +1.25 @ 1.26
84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 1.17 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.8% 7.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
1 10.3% 12.1% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8%
2 7.8% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Cordoba winDrawGirona win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cordoba vs Girona comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Cordoba with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

50%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Cordoba

Cordoba come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Albacete. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Almeria.

  • WAlbacete 1-2 CordobaSegunda División
  • LCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
  • LSabadell 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
  • LCordoba 1-3 Granada CFSegunda División
  • WCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División
Girona

Girona come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Las Palmas. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Castellón.

  • WCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
  • LGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
  • WSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
  • WGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • LCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cordoba or Draw at 1.54 (71% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Cordoba or Draw 71% 60% @ 1.54
Girona or Draw 55% 69% @ 1.32

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% 74% @ 1.23
Under 3.5 72% 68% @ 1.34
Over 2.5 50% 51% @ 1.78
Under 2.5 50% 49% @ 1.89
Over 3.5 28% 32% @ 2.88
Under 1.5 25% 26% @ 3.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 54% 57% @ 1.60
BTTS No 46% 43% @ 2.12

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cordoba or Girona is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Cordoba +1.75 90% 83% 1.15
Cordoba +1.5 88% 77% 1.22
Cordoba +1.25 84% 75% 1.26
Cordoba +1 80% 73% 1.31
Girona +1.5 78% 85% 1.12
Cordoba +0.75 75% 64% 1.49
Girona +1.25 72% 83% 1.14
Cordoba +0.5 71% 58% 1.64
Girona +1 66% 82% 1.16
Cordoba +0.25 64% 51% 1.88
Girona +0.75 61% 75% 1.27
Cordoba 0 58% 42% 2.25
Girona +0.5 55% 68% 1.38
Cordoba -0.25 52% 36% 2.65
Girona +0.25 48% 64% 1.50
Cordoba -0.5 45% 32% 2.96
Girona 0 42% 58% 1.64
Cordoba -0.75 39% 25% 3.79
Girona -0.25 36% 49% 1.97
Cordoba -1 34% 18% 5.25
Girona -0.5 29% 42% 2.22
Cordoba -1.25 28% 17% 5.75
Girona -0.75 25% 36% 2.65
Cordoba -1.5 22% 15% 6.25
Girona -1 20% 27% 3.48
Girona -1.25 16% 25% 3.83
Girona -1.5 12% 23% 4.15
Girona -1.75 10% 17% 5.50

📈 How the market moved

23%35%46%08/1808/1908/2008/21

Cordoba 31%Draw 27%Girona 42%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cordoba vs Girona?

Our model's main pick is Cordoba with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

What is the predicted score for Cordoba vs Girona?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Cordoba and 1.17 for Girona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cordoba and Girona play?

Kick-off is Friday 21 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.