vs
⚽ Süper Lig
Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Çorum FK face Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Çorum FK win the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 2.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 93%. On the match result, the model rates a Çorum FK win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (81%), both teams to score points yes (74%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Çorum FK come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Esenler Erokspor. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Bodrum FK.
- DGalatasaray 2-2 Çorum FKSüper Lig
- WEsenler Erokspor 0-2 Çorum FK1. Lig
- LBodrum FK 1-0 Çorum FK1. Lig
- WÇorum FK 1-0 Keçiörengücü1. Lig
- DÇorum FK 1-1 Erzurumspor FK1. Lig
Kasımpaşa come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği S.K.. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DKasımpaşa 1-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- DKasımpaşa 1-1 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
- WKasımpaşa 3-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Friendlies Clubs
- DKasımpaşa 1-1 Batman PetrolsporFriendlies Clubs
- WKasımpaşa 1-0 GalatasaraySüper Lig
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. KyziridisSuspended (red card)
- S. OsmanogluInjury
- H. SmolcicInjury
- K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Çorum FK at 65% to win and Kasımpaşa at 18%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a Çorum FK win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK Win | 65% | @ 2.28 | n/a |
| Draw | 16% | @ 3.45 | n/a |
| Kasımpaşa Win | 18% | @ 2.92 | n/a |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Çorum FK or Draw at 1.40 (84% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK or Draw | 84% | @ 1.40 | n/a |
| Kasımpaşa or Draw | 37% | @ 1.60 | n/a |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 81% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 93% | @ 1.25 | n/a |
| Under 1.5 | 7% | @ 3.70 | n/a |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | @ 1.83 | n/a |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | @ 1.95 | n/a |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | @ 3.10 | n/a |
| Under 3.5 | 36% | @ 1.36 | n/a |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 74% | @ 1.65 | n/a |
| BTTS No | 26% | @ 2.10 | n/a |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 65% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.95 for the home side, 0.86 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (6%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 93% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
Our model makes a Çorum FK win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 2.9-1.5 scoreline for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa.
What is the predicted score for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.86 for Çorum FK and 1.52 for Kasımpaşa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Çorum FK and Kasımpaşa play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
