Sun 13 Sep0-5Finished

⚽ Premier League

Coventry vs Brighton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Coventry vs Brighton in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Coventry 0-5 Brighton

Coventry vs Brighton finished 0-5. Brighton won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, both teams to score at 1.68, did not land.

Coventry face Brighton in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Coventry have no wins from their last 3, while Brighton have 1 win from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Coventry vs Brighton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Coventry +1.5 @ 1.34

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 1.50 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	5.9%	4.4%	2.2%	0.8%
1	6.8%	10.2%	7.7%	3.8%	1.4%
2	5.9%	8.9%	6.7%	3.3%	1.3%
3	3.4%	5.2%	3.9%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.5%	2.2%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Coventry winDrawBrighton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Coventry vs Brighton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Coventry with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Brighton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Coventry 31%Draw 25%Brighton 44%

31%25%44%

44%

Brighton Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Coventry

Coventry come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Nottingham Forest. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Aston Villa.

WNottingham Forest 0-1 CoventryPremier League
LCoventry 1-3 Aston VillaLeague Cup
LCoventry 0-5 BrightonPremier League
LManchester City 1-0 CoventryPremier League
LCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League

Brighton

Brighton come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Coventry. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 3-4 at Chelsea.

WBrighton 3-0 ArsenalPremier League
WManchester United 2-3 BrightonLeague Cup
WCoventry 0-5 BrightonPremier League
DBrighton 1-1 LeedsPremier League
LChelsea 4-3 BrightonPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Coventry

J. EcclesInjury
K. Kesler-HaydenMuscle Injury
L. WoolfendenKnee Injury
H. WrightMuscle Injury

Brighton

E. FergusonAnkle Injury
J. HinshelwoodInjury
Y. MintehInjury
K. MitomaHamstring Injury
M. SvobodaInjury
S. TzimasKnee Injury
M. WiefferKnee Injury
Z. YohannaLacking Match Fitness

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Coventry at 31% to win and Brighton at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Brighton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Brighton Win	44%	52%	@ 1.84
Coventry Win	31%	23%	@ 4.20
Draw	25%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brighton or Draw at 1.22 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Brighton or Draw	69%	77%	@ 1.22
Coventry or Draw	57%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	76%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	63%	53%	@ 1.79
Under 3.5	59%	68%	@ 1.38
Over 3.5	41%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 2.5	37%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	17%	24%	@ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	55%	@ 1.68
BTTS No	36%	45%	@ 2.08

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Coventry or Brighton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Coventry +2	86%	84%	1.12
Coventry +1.75	82%	76%	@ 1.25
Coventry +1.5	79%	–	@ 1.34
Brighton +1	78%	86%	1.10
Brighton +0.75	74%	79%	1.19
Coventry +1.25	74%	69%	@ 1.39
Brighton +0.5	69%	75%	1.27
Coventry +1	68%	64%	@ 1.49
Brighton +0.25	63%	71%	1.35
Coventry +0.75	62%	56%	@ 1.70
Coventry +0.5	57%	50%	@ 1.93
Brighton 0	56%	66%	1.44
Coventry +0.25	50%	43%	@ 2.23
Brighton -0.25	50%	57%	1.68
Coventry 0	44%	34%	@ 2.83
Brighton -0.5	43%	50%	1.94
Brighton -0.75	38%	44%	2.19
Coventry -0.25	37%	29%	@ 3.25
Brighton -1	32%	36%	2.67
Coventry -0.5	31%	25%	@ 3.83
Brighton -1.25	26%	31%	3.06
Coventry -0.75	26%	21%	@ 4.50
Coventry -1	22%	14%	@ 7.00
Brighton -1.75	18%	24%	4.03
Brighton -2	14%	16%	6.00

📈 How the market moved

Coventry 25%Draw 25%Brighton 50%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coventry vs Brighton?

Our model's main pick is Coventry with a +1.5 start at odds 1.34, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Brighton?

Our model makes a Brighton win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline for Coventry vs Brighton.

What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Brighton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Coventry and 1.50 for Brighton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Coventry and Brighton play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.