⚽ Serie B

Cremonese vs Modena Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cremonese vs Modena in the Serie B. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Cremonese face Modena in the Serie B, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cremonese vs Modena with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.45

70%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	7.5%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.9%	11.8%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.3%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.8%	4.9%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.3%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Cremonese winDrawModena win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Modena is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.45, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

56%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Cremonese

Cremonese come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Giana Erminio. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Empoli.

LEmpoli 1-0 CremoneseSerie B
WCremonese 2-0 SampdoriaCoppa Italia
DCremonese 0-0 LumezzaneFriendlies Clubs
DCremonese 1-1 CittadellaFriendlies Clubs
WCremonese 4-0 Giana ErminioFriendlies Clubs

Modena

Modena come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Virtus Bolzano. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Venezia.

WBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B
LVenezia 3-2 ModenaCoppa Italia
WTrento 0-1 ModenaFriendlies Clubs
LCagliari 1-0 ModenaFriendlies Clubs
WModena 5-0 Virtus BolzanoFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cremonese or Draw at 1.20 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Cremonese or Draw	79%	@ 1.20	n/a
Modena or Draw	45%	@ 1.91	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	70%	@ 1.45	n/a
Under 1.5	30%	@ 2.70	n/a
Over 2.5	44%	@ 2.35	n/a
Under 2.5	56%	@ 1.57	n/a
Over 3.5	23%	@ 4.50	n/a
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.20	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	46%	@ 2.05	n/a
BTTS No	54%	@ 1.65	n/a

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cremonese vs Modena?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.45, with 70% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Modena?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Cremonese and 0.85 for Modena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Cremonese and Modena play?

Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.