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⚽ Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle in the Premier League. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Crystal Palace face Newcastle in the Premier League, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Crystal Palace have 2 wins from their last 5, while Newcastle have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Crystal Palace won 2, Newcastle won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Crystal Palace or Draw @ 1.53

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.60 – 1.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	6.5%	5.2%	2.8%	1.1%
1	6.5%	10.4%	8.3%	4.5%	1.8%
2	5.2%	8.3%	6.7%	3.6%	1.4%
3	2.8%	4.5%	3.6%	1.9%	0.8%
4	1.1%	1.8%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Crystal Palace winDrawNewcastle win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Crystal Palace or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Crystal Palace win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

Crystal Palace 40%Draw 29%Newcastle 31%

40%29%31%

40%

Crystal Palace Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Crystal Palace and Newcastle. Wins shown from Crystal Palace’s perspective: Crystal Palace 2 · 1 drawn · Newcastle 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-12	Crystal Palace	2 – 1	Newcastle	W
2026-01-04	Newcastle	2 – 0	Crystal Palace	L
2025-04-16	Newcastle	5 – 0	Crystal Palace	L
2024-11-30	Crystal Palace	1 – 1	Newcastle	D
2024-04-24	Crystal Palace	2 – 0	Newcastle	W

📈 Recent form

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Nottingham Forest. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Brighton.

LBrighton 5-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
LLyon 3-2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League
WCrystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
LCrystal Palace 0-2 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs
DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League

Newcastle

Newcastle come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Hull City. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Aston Villa.

LNewcastle 0-1 Aston VillaPremier League
LCoventry 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
WNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
LLeeds 4-1 NewcastlePremier League
WMillwall 0-1 NewcastleLeague Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Crystal Palace at 40% to win and Newcastle at 31%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Crystal Palace Win	40%	33%	@ 2.88
Newcastle Win	31%	40%	@ 2.38
Draw	29%	27%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Crystal Palace or Draw at 1.53 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Crystal Palace or Draw	67%	60%	@ 1.53
Newcastle or Draw	59%	67%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	79%	@ 1.20
Over 2.5	62%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	60%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	40%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 2.5	38%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	17%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	36%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

Crystal Palace 33%Draw 27%Newcastle 41%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Our model's pick is Crystal Palace or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Our model makes a Crystal Palace win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.60 for Crystal Palace and 1.60 for Newcastle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Crystal Palace and Newcastle play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.