Dijon

Fri 14 Aug0-1Finished

PAU

⚽ Ligue 2

Dijon vs PAU Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dijon vs PAU in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Dijon 0-1 PAU

Dijon vs PAU finished 0-1. PAU won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Dijon face PAU in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dijon vs PAU with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.35

92%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.91 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%
1	4.5%	5.7%	3.6%	1.5%	0.5%
2	6.5%	8.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%
3	6.3%	8.0%	5.1%	2.1%	0.7%
4	4.6%	5.8%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

Dijon winDrawPAU win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dijon vs PAU comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 92% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points yes (68%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

79%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Dijon

Dijon come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Annecy. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Saint Etienne.

WAnnecy 1-2 DijonLigue 2
WDijon 3-2 LavalLigue 2
DBoulogne 1-1 DijonLigue 2
LDijon 2-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
DClermont Foot 1-1 DijonLigue 2

PAU

PAU come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Montpellier.

WPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
LMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
DPAU 1-1 SochauxLigue 2
DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
LPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dijon or Draw at 1.32 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dijon or Draw	88%	69%	@ 1.32
PAU or Draw	31%	61%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	92%	68%	@ 1.35
Over 2.5	79%	43%	@ 2.12
Over 3.5	60%	24%	@ 3.80
Under 3.5	40%	76%	@ 1.21
Under 2.5	21%	57%	@ 1.61
Under 1.5	8%	32%	@ 2.85

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	68%	50%	@ 1.82
BTTS No	32%	50%	@ 1.82

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Dijon or PAU is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dijon +1.5	96%	85%	1.08
Dijon +1.25	94%	86%	1.11
Dijon +1	92%	84%	1.12
Dijon +0.75	90%	77%	1.24
Dijon +0.5	88%	69%	1.36
Dijon +0.25	83%	65%	1.46
Dijon 0	78%	59%	1.61
Dijon -0.25	74%	49%	1.94
Dijon -0.5	69%	43%	2.19
Dijon -0.75	63%	35%	2.69
PAU +1.75	60%	84%	1.12
Dijon -1	57%	26%	3.57
PAU +1.5	55%	79%	1.17
Dijon -1.25	51%	24%	4.03
PAU +1.25	49%	76%	1.24
Dijon -1.5	45%	21%	4.50
PAU +1	43%	74%	1.28
Dijon -1.75	40%	16%	6.00
PAU +0.75	37%	65%	1.47
PAU +0.5	31%	57%	1.66
PAU +0.25	26%	51%	1.90
PAU 0	22%	41%	2.30
PAU -0.25	17%	35%	2.73
PAU -0.5	12%	31%	3.05
PAU -0.75	10%	23%	4.04
PAU -1	8%	16%	6.00
PAU -1.25	6%	14%	6.60
PAU -1.5	4%	15%	6.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dijon vs PAU?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 92% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

What is the predicted score for Dijon vs PAU?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.91 for Dijon and 1.27 for PAU. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dijon and PAU play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.