vs
⚽ Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Montpellier Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dunkerque vs Montpellier in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Dunkerque 0-1 Montpellier
Dunkerque vs Montpellier finished 0-1. Montpellier won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Dunkerque face Montpellier in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dunkerque vs Montpellier with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Montpellier is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Montpellier to win or draw at odds 1.56, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Montpellier win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Montpellier to win at odds 2.77 (+46.8% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Dunkerque come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Grenoble. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Montpellier.
- LDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2
- DReims 3-3 DunkerqueLigue 2
- WDunkerque 4-2 GrenobleLigue 2
- DKV Mechelen 0-0 DunkerqueFriendlies Clubs
- WDunkerque 3-1 KVC WesterloFriendlies Clubs
Montpellier come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Rodez. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2
- WNancy 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2
- DMontpellier 1-1 DijonLigue 2
- WMontpellier 4-2 RodezFriendlies Clubs
- WClermont Foot 0-1 MontpellierFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Dunkerque at 21% to win and Montpellier at 51%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier Win | 51% | @ 2.77 | +41.8% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.27 | -8.0% |
| Dunkerque Win | 21% | @ 2.41 | -50.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Montpellier or Draw at 1.52 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier or Draw | 77% | @ 1.52 | +17.4% |
| Dunkerque or Draw | 47% | @ 1.41 | -34.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 73% | @ 1.33 | -2.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | @ 1.89 | -2.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | @ 1.28 | -6.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | @ 1.89 | -8.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | @ 3.19 | -15.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | @ 2.06 | +5.8% |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | @ 1.67 | -18.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Dunkerque or Montpellier is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier -1 | 41% | @ 4.91 | +100.6% |
| Montpellier -1.25 | 35% | @ 5.50 | +91.6% |
| Montpellier -1.5 | 29% | @ 5.90 | +69.7% |
| Montpellier -1.75 | 25% | @ 6.80 | +67.9% |
| Montpellier -0.75 | 47% | @ 3.54 | +66.1% |
| Montpellier -0.5 | 53% | @ 2.77 | +46.8% |
| Montpellier -0.25 | 59% | @ 2.45 | +44.8% |
| Montpellier 0 | 65% | @ 2.03 | +32.5% |
| Montpellier +0.25 | 71% | @ 1.75 | +24.7% |
| Montpellier +0.5 | 77% | @ 1.56 | +20.4% |
| Montpellier +0.75 | 81% | @ 1.42 | +14.6% |
| Montpellier +1.5 | 92% | @ 1.18 | +8.5% |
| Montpellier +1.25 | 88% | @ 1.22 | +7.2% |
| Montpellier +1 | 85% | @ 1.25 | +6.2% |
| Montpellier +1.75 | 93% | @ 1.12 | +4.6% |
| Dunkerque +1.75 | 75% | 1.10 | -17.2% |
| Dunkerque +1.5 | 71% | 1.13 | -19.5% |
| Dunkerque +1.25 | 65% | 1.15 | -25.1% |
| Dunkerque +1 | 59% | 1.18 | -30.3% |
| Dunkerque +0.75 | 53% | 1.30 | -31.1% |
| Dunkerque +0.5 | 47% | 1.42 | -33.3% |
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 41% | 1.55 | -36.6% |
| Dunkerque 0 | 35% | 1.77 | -38.4% |
| Dunkerque -0.25 | 29% | 2.10 | -39.8% |
| Dunkerque -1 | 15% | 3.88 | -40.4% |
| Dunkerque -0.75 | 19% | 2.90 | -44.9% |
| Dunkerque -0.5 | 23% | 2.37 | -46.2% |
| Dunkerque -1.25 | 12% | 4.34 | -49.1% |
| Dunkerque -1.75 | 7% | 6.25 | -58.6% |
| Dunkerque -1.5 | 8% | 4.65 | -62.4% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
Our main pick is Montpellier to win or draw at odds 1.56, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Montpellier to win at 2.77 (+46.8% value).
Who is the favourite for Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
Our model makes a Montpellier win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline for Dunkerque vs Montpellier.
What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.98 for Dunkerque and 1.63 for Montpellier. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Dunkerque and Montpellier play?
Kick-off is Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Bologna
Lazio
Baltika
Rubin
Osasuna
Levante
Kocaelispor
Amed
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Reims
AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.