Dunkerque

Sat 12 Sep2-1Finished

Saint Etienne

⚽ Ligue 2

Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Dunkerque 2-1 Saint Etienne

Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne finished 2-1. Dunkerque won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.70, landed.

Dunkerque face Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Dunkerque have 1 win from their last 5, while Saint Etienne have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Dunkerque won 1, Saint Etienne won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 1.4-2.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.73

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 2.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.1%	5.2%	6.6%	5.5%	3.5%
1	2.8%	7.1%	8.9%	7.5%	4.7%
2	1.9%	4.8%	6.1%	5.1%	3.2%
3	0.9%	2.2%	2.7%	2.3%	1.5%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

Dunkerque winDrawSaint Etienne win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Saint Etienne win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Dunkerque 20%Draw 20%Saint Etienne 60%

20%20%60%

60%

Saint Etienne Win

74%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Dunkerque and Saint Etienne. Wins shown from Dunkerque’s perspective: Dunkerque 1 · Saint Etienne 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Dunkerque	2 – 1	Saint Etienne	W
2026-04-11	Saint Etienne	2 – 1	Dunkerque	L

📈 Recent form

Dunkerque

Dunkerque come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Saint Etienne. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at PAU.

LPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
WDunkerque 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
DDunkerque 1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
LNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
LDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2

Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Grenoble. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dunkerque.

DMetz 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
LDunkerque 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
WSaint Etienne 3-1 MontpellierLigue 2
WDijon 2-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
WSaint Etienne 4-0 GrenobleLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dunkerque at 20% to win and Saint Etienne at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Saint Etienne Win	60%	54%	@ 1.67
Dunkerque Win	20%	21%	@ 4.33
Draw	20%	26%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Saint Etienne or Draw at 1.20 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Saint Etienne or Draw	81%	79%	@ 1.20
Dunkerque or Draw	42%	46%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	77%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	74%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	54%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 3.5	46%	66%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	26%	45%	@ 2.08
Under 1.5	10%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	34%	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

Dunkerque 21%Draw 24%Saint Etienne 55%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

Who is the favourite for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

Our model makes a Saint Etienne win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.5 scoreline for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne.

What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Dunkerque and 2.52 for Saint Etienne. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dunkerque and Saint Etienne play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.