vs
⚽ Segunda División
Eibar vs Tenerife Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Eibar vs Tenerife in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Eibar face Tenerife in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 2.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Eibar vs Tenerife with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Eibar vs Tenerife is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates an Eibar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (62%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.20 (+43.1% model value).
📊 Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Eibar at 59% to win and Tenerife at 20%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar Win | 59% | @ 1.80 | +6.6% |
| Tenerife Win | 20% | @ 4.60 | -5.9% |
| Draw | 20% | @ 3.35 | -31.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eibar or Draw at 1.18 (81% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar or Draw | 81% | @ 1.18 | -4.7% |
| Tenerife or Draw | 42% | @ 1.95 | -17.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 43% | @ 4.20 | +80.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | @ 2.20 | +43.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | @ 1.40 | +18.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | @ 1.22 | -30.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | @ 1.65 | -42.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | @ 2.90 | -55.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | @ 1.95 | +20.3% |
| BTTS No | 38% | @ 1.73 | -33.7% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 59% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.80 for the home side, 0.93 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Eibar vs Tenerife?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 85% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.20 (+43.1% value).
Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Tenerife?
Our model makes an Eibar win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline for Eibar vs Tenerife.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Tenerife?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.15 for Eibar and 1.20 for Tenerife. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Eibar and Tenerife play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.