Eibar

Sun 16 Aug1-3Finished

Tenerife

⚽ Segunda División

Eibar vs Tenerife Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Eibar vs Tenerife in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Eibar 1-3 Tenerife

Eibar vs Tenerife finished 1-3. Tenerife won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Eibar face Tenerife in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Eibar vs Tenerife with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.43

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.15 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	4.2%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.5%	9.1%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
2	8.1%	9.7%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	5.8%	7.0%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
4	3.1%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Eibar winDrawTenerife win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Eibar vs Tenerife comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 85% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

65%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Eibar

Eibar come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Granada CF. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Tenerife.

WEldense 1-2 EibarSegunda División
WEibar 3-0 Granada CFSegunda División
WFC Andorra 0-1 EibarSegunda División
WEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División

Tenerife

Tenerife come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Castellón.

LCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
WTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
LTenerife 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
WTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Eibar or Draw at 1.17 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Eibar or Draw	81%	78%	@ 1.17
Tenerife or Draw	42%	52%	@ 1.78

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	64%	@ 1.43
Over 2.5	65%	39%	@ 2.35
Under 3.5	57%	79%	@ 1.17
Over 3.5	43%	21%	@ 4.30
Under 2.5	35%	61%	@ 1.50
Under 1.5	15%	36%	@ 2.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	44%	@ 2.06
BTTS No	38%	56%	@ 1.63

📈 How the market moved

Eibar 49%Draw 29%Tenerife 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eibar vs Tenerife?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.43, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Tenerife?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.15 for Eibar and 1.20 for Tenerife. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Eibar and Tenerife play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.