⚽ Serie B

Empoli vs Cremonese Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Empoli vs Cremonese in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Empoli face Cremonese in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Empoli win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Empoli vs Cremonese with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	8.0%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.7%	12.2%	5.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.7%	9.3%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.9%	4.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Empoli winDrawCremonese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Empoli vs Cremonese is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates an Empoli win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Empoli 50%Draw 26%Cremonese 24%

50%26%24%

50%

Empoli Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Empoli

Empoli come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Virtus Entella. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DPisa 1-1 EmpoliCoppa Italia
DLivorno 1-1 EmpoliFriendlies Clubs
DEmpoli 1-1 SpeziaFriendlies Clubs
WEmpoli 1-0 Virtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs
DMonza 2-2 EmpoliSerie B

Cremonese

Cremonese come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Giana Erminio. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to Como.

WCremonese 2-0 SampdoriaCoppa Italia
DCremonese 0-0 LumezzaneFriendlies Clubs
DCremonese 1-1 CittadellaFriendlies Clubs
WCremonese 4-0 Giana ErminioFriendlies Clubs
LCremonese 1-4 ComoSerie A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Empoli at 50% to win and Cremonese at 24%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Empoli win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Empoli Win	50%	@ 2.65	n/a
Draw	26%	@ 3.15	n/a
Cremonese Win	24%	@ 2.65	n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Empoli or Draw at 1.45 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Empoli or Draw	76%	@ 1.45	n/a
Cremonese or Draw	49%	@ 1.45	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.38	n/a
Under 1.5	29%	@ 3.00	n/a
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.10	n/a
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.70	n/a
Over 3.5	24%	@ 3.80	n/a
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.25	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	48%	@ 1.77	n/a
BTTS No	52%	@ 1.90	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	50%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.62 for the home side, 1.04 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Empoli vs Cremonese?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 76% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Cremonese?

Our model makes an Empoli win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Empoli vs Cremonese.

What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Cremonese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Empoli and 0.96 for Cremonese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Empoli and Cremonese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.