Empoli vs Cremonese Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Empoli vs Cremonese in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Empoli 1-0 Cremonese

Empoli vs Cremonese finished 1-0. Empoli won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Empoli face Cremonese in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Empoli vs Cremonese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Empoli or Draw @ 1.41

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	8.0%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.7%	12.2%	5.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.7%	9.3%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.9%	4.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Empoli winDrawCremonese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Empoli vs Cremonese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Empoli or Draw at odds 1.41, with a 76% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

55%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Empoli

Empoli come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Modena.

LModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
LEmpoli 0-1 ArezzoSerie B
WCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
LMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B
WEmpoli 1-0 CremoneseSerie B

Cremonese

Cremonese come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Padova. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Modena.

DCremonese 0-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
DCesena 2-2 CremoneseSerie B
WCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B
WParma 0-2 CremoneseCoppa Italia
LCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Empoli or Draw at 1.41 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Empoli or Draw	76%	65%	@ 1.41
Cremonese or Draw	49%	65%	@ 1.41

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	75%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	71%	68%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	55%	56%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	45%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	29%	32%	@ 2.85
Over 3.5	24%	25%	@ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	49%	@ 1.85
BTTS Yes	48%	51%	@ 1.79

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Empoli vs Cremonese?

Our model's main pick is Empoli or Draw at odds 1.41, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Cremonese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Empoli and 0.96 for Cremonese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Empoli and Cremonese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.