Energie Cottbus

Sat 29 Aug3-4Finished

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Energie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth finished 3-4. SpVgg Greuther Fürth won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Energie Cottbus face SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.58

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.35 – 0.77 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	9.2%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
1	16.2%	12.5%	4.8%	1.2%	0.2%
2	10.9%	8.4%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
3	4.9%	3.8%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Energie Cottbus winDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.58, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (60%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

64%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Karlsruher SC. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

DEnergie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
WKarlsruher SC 0-3 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
DVfL Wolfsburg 4-4 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
LEnergie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
LEnergie Cottbus 0-2 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Energie Cottbus. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to 1. FC Heidenheim.

DSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
DVfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
WEnergie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Energie Cottbus or Draw at 1.41 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Energie Cottbus or Draw	77%	64%	@ 1.41
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw	48%	61%	@ 1.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	84%	58%	@ 1.58
Under 2.5	64%	38%	@ 2.43
Over 1.5	62%	81%	@ 1.13
Under 1.5	38%	19%	@ 4.80
Over 2.5	36%	62%	@ 1.47
Over 3.5	16%	42%	@ 2.17

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	60%	35%	@ 2.60
BTTS Yes	40%	65%	@ 1.40

📈 How the market moved

Energie Cottbus 38%Draw 25%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 37%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.58, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

What is the predicted score for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Energie Cottbus and 0.77 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Energie Cottbus and SpVgg Greuther Fürth play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.