Thu 10 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Primeira Liga

Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Estrela da Amadora 2-1 SC Braga

Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga finished 2-1. Estrela da Amadora won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.27, landed.

Estrela da Amadora face SC Braga in the upcoming Primeira Liga tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:15 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Estrela da Amadora won 1, SC Braga won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SC Braga win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.1-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.27

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.14 – 2.02 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	8.6%	8.7%	5.8%	2.9%
1	4.8%	9.8%	9.9%	6.6%	3.4%
2	2.8%	5.6%	5.6%	3.8%	1.9%
3	1.0%	2.1%	2.1%	1.4%	0.7%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-2

Estrela da Amadora winDrawSC Braga win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a SC Braga win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Estrela da Amadora 19%Draw 25%SC Braga 56%

19%25%56%

56%

SC Braga Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Estrela da Amadora and SC Braga. Wins shown from Estrela da Amadora’s perspective: Estrela da Amadora 1 · 3 drawn · SC Braga 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-10	Estrela da Amadora	2 – 1	SC Braga	W
2026-05-16	SC Braga	2 – 2	Estrela da Amadora	D
2026-01-03	Estrela da Amadora	3 – 3	SC Braga	D
2025-01-19	Estrela da Amadora	0 – 1	SC Braga	L
2024-08-11	SC Braga	1 – 1	Estrela da Amadora	D

📈 Recent form

Estrela da Amadora

Estrela da Amadora come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to SC Braga. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Académico de Viseu.

LEstrela da Amadora 0-2 Académico de ViseuPrimeira Liga
DRio Ave 3-3 Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga
WEstrela da Amadora 2-1 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
DEstrela da Amadora 2-2 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
WNacional 2-3 Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga

SC Braga

SC Braga come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Estoril. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Estrela da Amadora.

DSanta Clara 0-0 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WSC Braga 1-0 EstorilPrimeira Liga
LEstrela da Amadora 2-1 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WAlverca 1-2 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WSC Braga 1-0 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Estrela da Amadora at 19% to win and SC Braga at 56%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a SC Braga win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Braga Win	56%	55%	@ 1.72
Draw	25%	26%	@ 3.60
Estrela da Amadora Win	19%	19%	@ 4.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SC Braga or Draw at 1.14 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Braga or Draw	80%	81%	@ 1.14
Estrela da Amadora or Draw	43%	45%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	73%	@ 1.27
Over 2.5	61%	48%	@ 1.91
Under 3.5	61%	73%	@ 1.27
Over 3.5	39%	27%	@ 3.35
Under 2.5	39%	52%	@ 1.77
Under 1.5	18%	27%	@ 3.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	41%	50%	@ 1.84

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Estrela da Amadora or SC Braga is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Braga +0.75	84%	86%	1.10
SC Braga +0.5	80%	–	1.20
Estrela da Amadora +2	76%	80%	1.18
SC Braga +0.25	74%	78%	1.22
Estrela da Amadora +1.75	72%	74%	1.29
SC Braga 0	69%	–	1.31
Estrela da Amadora +1.5	68%	67%	1.39
SC Braga -0.25	63%	65%	1.47
Estrela da Amadora +1.25	61%	63%	1.52
SC Braga -0.5	57%	56%	1.69
Estrela da Amadora +1	55%	58%	1.64
SC Braga -0.75	51%	51%	1.89
Estrela da Amadora +0.75	49%	49%	1.98
SC Braga -1	45%	42%	@ 2.26
Estrela da Amadora +0.5	43%	44%	2.13
SC Braga -1.25	39%	37%	2.54
Estrela da Amadora +0.25	37%	35%	@ 2.71
SC Braga -1.5	32%	33%	2.87
SC Braga -1.75	28%	26%	@ 3.62
Estrela da Amadora -0.25	26%	22%	@ 4.41
SC Braga -2	24%	20%	@ 4.65
Estrela da Amadora -0.75	16%	14%	@ 6.80

📈 How the market moved

Estrela da Amadora 19%Draw 25%SC Braga 55%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga?

Our model makes a SC Braga win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.0 scoreline for Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga.

What is the predicted score for Estrela da Amadora vs SC Braga?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.14 for Estrela da Amadora and 2.02 for SC Braga. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Estrela da Amadora and SC Braga play?

Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 19:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.