⚽ Primeira Liga
Famalicão vs Sporting CP Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Famalicão vs Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:30 UTC.
Result: Famalicão 1-1 Sporting CP
Famalicão vs Sporting CP finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.43, landed.
Famalicão face Sporting CP in the upcoming Primeira Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Famalicão have no wins from their last 5, while Sporting CP have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Sporting CP won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sporting CP win the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 0.9-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Famalicão vs Sporting CP with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Famalicão vs Sporting CP comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sporting CP to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.36, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sporting CP win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (50%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Famalicão and Sporting CP. Wins shown from Famalicão’s perspective: 1 drawn · Sporting CP 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Famalicão | 1 – 1 | Sporting CP | D |
| 2026-02-15 | Sporting CP | 1 – 0 | Famalicão | L |
| 2025-09-13 | Famalicão | 1 – 2 | Sporting CP | L |
| 2025-03-15 | Sporting CP | 3 – 1 | Famalicão | L |
| 2024-10-26 | Famalicão | 0 – 3 | Sporting CP | L |
📈 Recent form
Famalicão come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Nacional. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Santa Clara.
- WNacional 0-4 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
- DFamalicão 1-1 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
- DEstrela da Amadora 2-2 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
- DFamalicão 0-0 Gil VicentePrimeira Liga
- LSanta Clara 1-0 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
Sporting CP come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Rio Ave. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DSporting CP 2-2 AroucaPrimeira Liga
- DFamalicão 1-1 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
- WSporting CP 3-1 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
- WSporting CP 2-0 NacionalPrimeira Liga
- WRio Ave 0-4 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Famalicão at 13% to win and Sporting CP at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Sporting CP win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP Win | 67% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Draw | 20% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Famalicão Win | 13% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sporting CP or Draw at 1.14 (86% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP or Draw | 86% | 81% | @ 1.14 |
| Famalicão or Draw | 33% | 41% | @ 2.18 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 79% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 64% | @ 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 57% | @ 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 43% | @ 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.30 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Famalicão or Sporting CP is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP +0.75 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Sporting CP +0.5 | 86% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Sporting CP +0.25 | 82% | – | 1.20 |
| Sporting CP 0 | 77% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Sporting CP -0.25 | 72% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Famalicão +2 | 68% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Sporting CP -0.5 | 67% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Famalicão +1.75 | 63% | 67% | 1.41 |
| Sporting CP -0.75 | 61% | 58% | @ 1.66 |
| Famalicão +1.5 | 58% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Sporting CP -1 | 55% | 51% | @ 1.90 |
| Famalicão +1.25 | 52% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Sporting CP -1.25 | 48% | 44% | @ 2.18 |
| Famalicão +1 | 45% | 49% | 1.97 |
| Sporting CP -1.5 | 42% | 38% | @ 2.46 |
| Famalicão +0.75 | 39% | 42% | 2.25 |
| Sporting CP -1.75 | 37% | 33% | @ 2.92 |
| Famalicão +0.5 | 33% | 38% | 2.52 |
| Sporting CP -2 | 32% | 25% | @ 3.83 |
| Famalicão +0.25 | 28% | 30% | 3.16 |
| Famalicão 0 | 23% | 21% | @ 4.60 |
| Famalicão -0.5 | 14% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Famalicão -0.75 | 11% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Famalicão vs Sporting CP?
Our model's main pick is Sporting CP to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.36, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Famalicão vs Sporting CP?
Our model makes a Sporting CP win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline for Famalicão vs Sporting CP.
What is the predicted score for Famalicão vs Sporting CP?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.92 for Famalicão and 1.80 for Sporting CP. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Famalicão and Sporting CP play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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