FC Sion

Sun 30 Aug1-2Finished

FC Lugano

⚽ Super League

FC Sion vs FC Lugano Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Sion vs FC Lugano in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Sion 1-2 FC Lugano

FC Sion vs FC Lugano finished 1-2. FC Lugano won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Sion face FC Lugano in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Sion have 2 wins from their last 5, while FC Lugano have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, FC Lugano won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.5-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Sion vs FC Lugano with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	7.9%	5.7%	2.8%	1.0%
1	8.0%	11.5%	8.4%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.4%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.8%	4.1%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Sion winDrawFC Lugano win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Sion vs FC Lugano comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Sion win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Sion 39%Draw 24%FC Lugano 38%

39%24%38%

39%

FC Sion Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Sion and FC Lugano. Wins shown from FC Sion’s perspective: 1 drawn · FC Lugano 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	FC Sion	1 – 2	FC Lugano	L
2026-05-14	FC Sion	2 – 2	FC Lugano	D

📈 Recent form

FC Sion

FC Sion come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Grasshoppers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DFC Sion 1-1 FC ZurichSuper League
WGrasshoppers 2-5 FC SionSuper League
WFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
WFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
WFC Basel 1893 1-2 FC SionSuper League

FC Lugano

FC Lugano come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lausanne. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WLausanne 0-4 FC LuganoSuper League
WFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
DFC Lugano 2-2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
WFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC LuganoSuper League
WFC Lugano 1-0 Servette FCSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Sion at 39% to win and FC Lugano at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Sion Win	39%	42%	@ 2.23
FC Lugano Win	38%	32%	@ 2.95
Draw	24%	26%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Sion or Draw at 1.34 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Sion or Draw	64%	68%	@ 1.34
FC Lugano or Draw	63%	58%	@ 1.58

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	79%	@ 1.16
Under 3.5	67%	61%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	56%	59%	@ 1.55
Under 2.5	44%	41%	@ 2.25
Over 3.5	33%	39%	@ 2.35
Under 1.5	21%	21%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	62%	@ 1.48
BTTS No	42%	38%	@ 2.43

📈 How the market moved

FC Sion 42%Draw 26%FC Lugano 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sion vs FC Lugano?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for FC Sion vs FC Lugano?

Our model makes a FC Sion win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.4 scoreline for FC Sion vs FC Lugano.

What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Lugano?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for FC Sion and 1.45 for FC Lugano. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Sion and FC Lugano play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.