FC St. Gallen

Sun 30 Aug3-4Finished

FC Thun

⚽ Super League

FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC St. Gallen 3-4 FC Thun

FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun finished 3-4. FC Thun won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC St. Gallen face FC Thun in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC. Recent form: FC St. Gallen have 3 wins from their last 5, while FC Thun have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, FC Thun won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 2.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.32

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.19 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	4.0%	2.6%	1.1%	0.4%
1	6.7%	8.7%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
2	7.3%	9.5%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
3	5.3%	6.9%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%
4	2.9%	3.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

FC St. Gallen winDrawFC Thun win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC St. Gallen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

FC St. Gallen 57%Draw 20%FC Thun 23%

57%20%23%

57%

FC St. Gallen Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC St. Gallen and FC Thun. Wins shown from FC St. Gallen’s perspective: 1 drawn · FC Thun 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	FC St. Gallen	3 – 4	FC Thun	L
2026-05-17	FC St. Gallen	1 – 1	FC Thun	D

📈 Recent form

FC St. Gallen

FC St. Gallen come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at FC Basel 1893. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at FC Lugano.

WFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC St. GallenSuper League
LFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
LFC St. Gallen 0-3 FC SionSuper League
WServette FC 0-2 FC St. GallenSuper League
LGrasshoppers 2-0 FC St. GallenSuper League

FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at FC Vaduz. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Grasshoppers.

WFC Vaduz 1-2 FC ThunSuper League
LFC Thun 0-1 GrasshoppersSuper League
LFC Sion 3-2 FC ThunSuper League
DFC Thun 0-0 LausanneSuper League
WFC St. Gallen 3-4 FC ThunSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC St. Gallen at 57% to win and FC Thun at 23%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC St. Gallen Win	57%	57%	@ 1.64
FC Thun Win	23%	22%	@ 4.30
Draw	20%	21%	@ 4.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC St. Gallen or Draw at 1.17 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC St. Gallen or Draw	79%	78%	@ 1.17
FC Thun or Draw	45%	43%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	85%	@ 1.08
Over 2.5	68%	69%	@ 1.32
Under 3.5	54%	50%	@ 1.84
Over 3.5	46%	50%	@ 1.83
Under 2.5	32%	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	14%	15%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	67%	@ 1.38
BTTS No	37%	33%	@ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

FC St. Gallen 58%Draw 22%FC Thun 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun?

Our model makes a FC St. Gallen win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.3 scoreline for FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun.

What is the predicted score for FC St. Gallen vs FC Thun?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.19 for FC St. Gallen and 1.30 for FC Thun. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC St. Gallen and FC Thun play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.