FC St. Pauli

Sun 30 Aug1-2Finished

1. FC Kaiserslautern

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC St. Pauli 1-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern finished 1-2. 1. FC Kaiserslautern won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC St. Pauli face 1. FC Kaiserslautern in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.47

90%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.07 – 0.64 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	18.1%	11.6%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%
1	19.4%	12.4%	4.0%	0.8%	0.1%
2	10.4%	6.6%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
3	3.7%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

FC St. Pauli winDraw1. FC Kaiserslautern win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.47, with a 90% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points no (69%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

76%

Under 2.5 goals

69%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to VfL Wolfsburg. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

DEnergie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
WFC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga
DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
LFC St. Pauli 1-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
LRot-Weiß Essen 2-0 FC St. PauliDFB Pokal

1. FC Kaiserslautern

1. FC Kaiserslautern come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to SV Darmstadt 98. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at 1. FC Magdeburg.

W1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
L1. FC Magdeburg 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
WFC St. Pauli 1-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
DWaldhof Mannheim 0-0 1. FC KaiserslauternDFB Pokal

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC St. Pauli or Draw at 1.22 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC St. Pauli or Draw	74%	75%	@ 1.22
1. FC Kaiserslautern or Draw	51%	49%	@ 1.85

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	90%	62%	@ 1.47
Under 2.5	76%	42%	@ 2.20
Over 1.5	51%	78%	@ 1.17
Under 1.5	49%	22%	@ 4.25
Over 2.5	24%	58%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	10%	38%	@ 2.43

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 69%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	69%	40%	@ 2.25
BTTS Yes	31%	60%	@ 1.52

📈 How the market moved

FC St. Pauli 51%Draw 25%1. FC Kaiserslautern 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.47, with a 90% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.07 for FC St. Pauli and 0.64 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.