⚽ Super League

FC Thun vs Servette FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Thun vs Servette FC in the Super League. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Thun face Servette FC in the Super League, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: FC Thun have 1 win from their last 3, while Servette FC have 1 win from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Servette FC win the most likely result at 77%, projecting a 1.1-3.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Thun vs Servette FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Servette FC or Draw @ 1.45

91%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.08 – 3.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.3%	4.2%	6.8%	7.5%	6.2%
1	1.4%	4.5%	7.4%	8.1%	6.7%
2	0.7%	2.4%	4.0%	4.4%	3.6%
3	0.3%	0.9%	1.4%	1.6%	1.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-3

FC Thun winDrawServette FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Thun vs Servette FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Servette FC or Draw at odds 1.45, the selection our model is most confident in at 91%. On the match result, the model rates a Servette FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 77%. Goals lean over 2.5 (81%), both teams to score points yes (62%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Servette FC win at odds 2.35 (+81.3% model value).

Best value

Servette FC Win at odds 2.35, 77% model probability, +81.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Thun 11%Draw 12%Servette FC 77%

11%12%77%

77%

Servette FC Win

81%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+81.3%

Best value: Servette FC Win

📈 Recent form

FC Thun

FC Thun come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Saxon Sports. Their most recent defeat was 0-7 at Lech Poznan.

LLech Poznan 7-0 FC ThunUEFA Europa League
WSaxon Sports 0-6 FC ThunSchweizer Cup
LVikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC ThunUEFA Europa League
LFC Basel 1893 4-2 FC ThunSuper League
WFC Thun 3-0 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Europa League

Servette FC

Servette FC come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at Bavois. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at FC Zurich.

WBavois 0-7 Servette FCSchweizer Cup
WServette FC 2-1 GrasshoppersSuper League
LFC Zurich 2-1 Servette FCSuper League
LServette FC 0-1 FC Basel 1893Super League
WServette FC 1-0 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Thun at 11% to win and Servette FC at 77%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a Servette FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Servette FC Win	77%	@ 2.35	+81.3%
Draw	12%	@ 3.65	-57.0%
FC Thun Win	11%	@ 2.70	-70.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Servette FC or Draw at 1.45 (91% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Servette FC or Draw	91%	@ 1.45	+31.9%
FC Thun or Draw	25%	@ 1.57	-60.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-3.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 81% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	63%	@ 2.25	+42.5%
Over 2.5	81%	@ 1.50	+21.4%
Over 1.5	93%	@ 1.17	+8.8%
Under 3.5	37%	@ 1.62	-40.6%
Under 2.5	19%	@ 2.50	-52.3%
Under 1.5	7%	@ 5.00	-65.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.60	-0.4%
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.42	-12.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	89%
Dixon-Coles	Away	65%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 0.70 for the home side, 2.40 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%), 0-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs Servette FC?

Our main pick is Servette FC or Draw at odds 1.45, with 91% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Servette FC win at 2.35 (+81.3% value).

Who is the favourite for FC Thun vs Servette FC?

Our model makes a Servette FC win the most likely result at 77%. It projects an expected 1.1-3.3 scoreline for FC Thun vs Servette FC.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Servette FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-3, based on expected goals of 1.08 for FC Thun and 3.29 for Servette FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Thun and Servette FC play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.