Thu 10 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fenerbahçe 1-1 AS Roma

Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Fenerbahçe Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at 1.30, landed.

Fenerbahçe face AS Roma in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Fenerbahçe Asian Handicap +1.25 @ 1.30

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.81 – 0.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	6.0%	2.6%	0.7%	0.2%
1	12.5%	10.8%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.3%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	6.8%	5.9%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Fenerbahçe winDrawAS Roma win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Fenerbahçe Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fenerbahçe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Fenerbahçe 42%Draw 39%AS Roma 18%

42%39%18%

42%

Fenerbahçe Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at home to Eyüpspor. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Beşiktaş.

WFenerbahçe 8-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
DGaziantep FK 0-0 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
LFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig

AS Roma

AS Roma come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lecce. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DAS Roma 2-2 InterSerie A
WTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
WAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WLecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fenerbahçe

M. AsensioMuscle Injury
A. DioufOff the roster
A. FallOff the roster
M. GuendouziSuspended (red card)
J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
Rodrigo BecaoOff the roster
M. YandasOff the roster

AS Roma

M. BahKnee Injury
L. PellegriniThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fenerbahçe at 42% to win and AS Roma at 18%, with the draw at 39%. Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fenerbahçe Win	42%	29%	@ 3.30
Draw	39%	28%	@ 3.45
AS Roma Win	18%	44%	@ 2.18

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fenerbahçe or Draw at 1.67 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fenerbahçe or Draw	75%	56%	@ 1.67
AS Roma or Draw	50%	71%	@ 1.32

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	78%	@ 1.21
Under 3.5	72%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	50%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 2.5	50%	55%	@ 1.72
Over 3.5	28%	34%	@ 2.80
Under 1.5	25%	22%	@ 4.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	40%	@ 2.33
BTTS Yes	48%	60%	@ 1.58

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fenerbahçe or AS Roma is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fenerbahçe +1.75	92%	81%	@ 1.17
Fenerbahçe +1.5	90%	75%	@ 1.24
Fenerbahçe +1.25	86%	73%	@ 1.30
Fenerbahçe +1	83%	70%	@ 1.36
Fenerbahçe +0.75	79%	62%	@ 1.54
AS Roma +1.75	78%	86%	1.10
Fenerbahçe +0.5	75%	55%	@ 1.70
AS Roma +1.5	74%	–	1.09
AS Roma +1.25	68%	85%	1.12
Fenerbahçe +0.25	68%	48%	@ 2.02
AS Roma +1	62%	–	1.16
Fenerbahçe 0	62%	40%	@ 2.38
AS Roma +0.75	56%	77%	1.24
Fenerbahçe -0.25	56%	33%	@ 2.92
AS Roma +0.5	50%	–	1.37
AS Roma +0.25	44%	67%	1.42
Fenerbahçe -0.75	44%	23%	@ 4.16
AS Roma 0	38%	60%	1.57
Fenerbahçe -1.25	32%	15%	@ 6.40
AS Roma -0.25	32%	52%	1.86
AS Roma -0.5	25%	45%	2.12
Fenerbahçe -1.75	22%	14%	@ 7.00
AS Roma -0.75	21%	38%	2.47
AS Roma -1	17%	30%	3.17
AS Roma -1.25	14%	27%	3.58
AS Roma -1.5	10%	25%	3.80
AS Roma -1.75	8%	19%	5.00

📈 How the market moved

Fenerbahçe 29%Draw 27%AS Roma 44%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?

Our model's main pick is Fenerbahçe Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?

Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma.

What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.81 for Fenerbahçe and 0.86 for AS Roma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fenerbahçe and AS Roma play?

Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.