Sat 5 Sep1-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fenerbahçe 1-2 Beşiktaş

Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş finished 1-2. Beşiktaş won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Fenerbahçe face Beşiktaş in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Fenerbahçe have 3 wins from their last 5, while Beşiktaş have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 1, Beşiktaş won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.68

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.95 – 1.45 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	4.8%	3.5%	1.7%	0.6%
1	6.5%	9.4%	6.8%	3.3%	1.2%
2	6.3%	9.2%	6.7%	3.2%	1.2%
3	4.1%	6.0%	4.3%	2.1%	0.8%
4	2.0%	2.9%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Fenerbahçe winDrawBeşiktaş win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fenerbahçe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Fenerbahçe 50%Draw 21%Beşiktaş 29%

50%21%29%

50%

Fenerbahçe Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş. Wins shown from Fenerbahçe’s perspective: Fenerbahçe 1 · Beşiktaş 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-05	Fenerbahçe	1 – 2	Beşiktaş	L
2026-04-05	Fenerbahçe	1 – 0	Beşiktaş	W

📈 Recent form

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at home to Eyüpspor. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Beşiktaş.

WFenerbahçe 8-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
DGaziantep FK 0-0 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
LFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig

Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Çorum FK. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Amed.

LAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
WBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FKSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fenerbahçe

M. AsensioMuscle Injury
J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
C. SoyuncuInjury

Beşiktaş

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fenerbahçe at 50% to win and Beşiktaş at 29%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fenerbahçe Win	50%	54%	@ 1.70
Beşiktaş Win	29%	21%	@ 4.30
Draw	21%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fenerbahçe or Draw at 1.20 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fenerbahçe or Draw	73%	79%	@ 1.20
Beşiktaş or Draw	52%	46%	@ 2.07

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	78%	@ 1.18
Over 2.5	66%	56%	@ 1.68
Under 3.5	56%	66%	@ 1.43
Over 3.5	44%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 2.5	34%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	15%	22%	@ 4.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	55%	@ 1.66
BTTS No	35%	45%	@ 2.06

📈 How the market moved

Fenerbahçe 52%Draw 24%Beşiktaş 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?

Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş.

What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.95 for Fenerbahçe and 1.45 for Beşiktaş. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.