⚽ Süper Lig

Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Fenerbahçe face Konyaspor in the Süper Lig, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 2.1-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.48

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.07 – 1.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	3.5%	3.4%	2.2%	1.1%
1	3.8%	7.3%	7.1%	4.6%	2.2%
2	3.9%	7.5%	7.3%	4.7%	2.3%
3	2.7%	5.2%	5.0%	3.3%	1.6%
4	1.4%	2.7%	2.6%	1.7%	0.8%

Projected score: 2-1

Fenerbahçe winDrawKonyaspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Fenerbahçe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (75%).

📊 Key numbers

Fenerbahçe 42%Draw 21%Konyaspor 37%

42%21%37%

42%

Fenerbahçe Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Sturm Graz. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Gençlerbirliği S.K..

DFenerbahçe 1-1 LyonUEFA Champions League
LGençlerbirliği S.K. 2-1 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WSturm Graz 0-1 FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League
WFenerbahçe 2-0 Sturm GrazUEFA Champions League
DGornik Zabrze 1-1 FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League

Konyaspor

Konyaspor come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Zorya Luhansk. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Rizespor.

LKonyaspor 0-1 RizesporSüper Lig
LKonyaspor 0-3 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
LKonyaspor 1-3 Zalaegerszegi TEFriendlies Clubs
WZorya Luhansk 1-2 KonyasporFriendlies Clubs
LKonyaspor 0-2 AFC EskilstunaSvenska Cupen

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fenerbahçe

M. GunokMuscle Injury
D. LivakovicNot in squad
J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
C. SoyuncuInjury

Konyaspor

A. NdaoSuspended

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fenerbahçe at 42% to win and Konyaspor at 37%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Fenerbahçe Win	42%	@ 1.28	n/a
Draw	21%	@ 5.60	n/a
Konyaspor Win	37%	@ 8.80	n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fenerbahçe or Draw at 1.06 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Fenerbahçe or Draw	66%	@ 1.06	n/a
Konyaspor or Draw	61%	@ 3.45	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	91%	@ 1.14	n/a
Under 1.5	9%	@ 5.50	n/a
Over 2.5	76%	@ 1.48	n/a
Under 2.5	24%	@ 2.65	n/a
Over 3.5	57%	@ 2.20	n/a
Under 3.5	43%	@ 1.65	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 75%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	75%	@ 1.80	n/a
BTTS No	25%	@ 1.91	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	42%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.35 for the home side, 1.24 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, with 76% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor?

Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.9 scoreline for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor.

What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.07 for Fenerbahçe and 1.94 for Konyaspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.