Sat 22 Aug4-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Fenerbahçe 4-2 Konyaspor

Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor finished 4-2. Fenerbahçe won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Fenerbahçe face Konyaspor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 2. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.48
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.07 – 1.94 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1%
1 3.8% 7.3% 7.1% 4.6% 2.2%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3%
3 2.7% 5.2% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6%
4 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8%
Projected score: 2-1
Fenerbahçe winDrawKonyaspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, with a 76% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (75%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

76%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor. Wins shown from Fenerbahçe’s perspective: Fenerbahçe 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-22 Fenerbahçe 4 – 2 Konyaspor W
2026-05-09 Konyaspor 0 – 3 Fenerbahçe W

📈 Recent form

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at home to Eyüpspor. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Beşiktaş.

  • WFenerbahçe 8-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • DGaziantep FK 0-0 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
  • DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
  • LFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
Konyaspor

Konyaspor come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Trabzonspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

  • DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • WKonyaspor 1-0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • LKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • LFenerbahçe 4-2 KonyasporSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fenerbahçe
  • M. GunokMuscle Injury
  • D. LivakovicTransfer negotiations
  • J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
  • C. SoyuncuInjury
Konyaspor
  • B. GungorduInjury

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fenerbahçe or Draw at 1.05 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Fenerbahçe or Draw 66% 90% @ 1.05
Konyaspor or Draw 61% 27% @ 3.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 91% 80% @ 1.14
Over 2.5 76% 62% @ 1.48
Over 3.5 57% 41% @ 2.23
Under 3.5 43% 59% @ 1.56
Under 2.5 24% 38% @ 2.40
Under 1.5 9% 20% @ 4.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 75%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 75% 49% @ 1.86
BTTS No 25% 51% @ 1.81

📈 How the market moved

6%42%78%08/1708/1808/1908/2008/2108/22

Fenerbahçe 72%Draw 17%Konyaspor 10%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.48, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.07 for Fenerbahçe and 1.94 for Konyaspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fenerbahçe and Konyaspor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.