⚽ Premier League

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fulham vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Fulham face Crystal Palace in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Fulham have 1 win from their last 5, while Crystal Palace have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Fulham won 1, Crystal Palace won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fulham vs Crystal Palace with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.27

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 1.20 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	7.9%	4.7%	1.9%	0.6%
1	10.0%	12.0%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.1%	5.5%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.9%	4.6%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.8%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Fulham winDrawCrystal Palace win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Fulham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

Best value

Fulham or Draw at odds 1.37, 72% model probability, -1.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Fulham 45%Draw 28%Crystal Palace 27%

45%28%27%

45%

Fulham Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

-1.6%

Best value: Fulham or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Fulham and Crystal Palace. Wins shown from Fulham’s perspective: Fulham 1 · 1 drawn · Crystal Palace 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-07	Fulham	1 – 2	Crystal Palace	L
2026-01-01	Crystal Palace	1 – 1	Fulham	D
2025-12-07	Fulham	1 – 2	Crystal Palace	L
2025-02-22	Fulham	0 – 2	Crystal Palace	L
2024-11-09	Crystal Palace	0 – 2	Fulham	W

📈 Recent form

Fulham

Fulham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AFC Wimbledon. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sunderland.

LSunderland 1-0 FulhamPremier League
WFulham 3-0 AFC WimbledonLeague Cup
LFulham 2-3 ChelseaPremier League
WFulham 1-0 VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs
DMalaga 2-2 FulhamFriendlies Clubs

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Al Ula. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Manchester City.

LCrystal Palace 1-4 Manchester CityPremier League
LEverton 2-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
LSC Freiburg 3-0 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
WFulham 1-2 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
WCrystal Palace 3-1 Al UlaComo Cup

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fulham

T. CairneyKnee Injury
L. De FougerollesInjury
H. LarssonMuscle Injury
Manuel AngelCoach's decision

Crystal Palace

J. MatetaHamstring Injury
C. RiadKnee Injury
I. SarrGroin Injury
H. AhanorMuscle Injury
B. ChilwellHamstring Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fulham at 45% to win and Crystal Palace at 27%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Fulham Win	45%	@ 2.32	+5.0%
Draw	28%	@ 3.45	-5.0%
Crystal Palace Win	27%	@ 3.05	-17.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fulham or Draw at 1.37 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Fulham or Draw	72%	@ 1.37	-1.6%
Crystal Palace or Draw	54%	@ 1.60	-13.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	76%	@ 1.27	-4.1%
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.35	-4.2%
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.87	-4.4%
Under 2.5	49%	@ 1.92	-6.2%
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.20	-7.1%
Under 1.5	24%	@ 3.70	-9.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	45%	@ 2.10	-5.6%
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.66	-8.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	44%
Dixon-Coles	Home	44%
GradientBoosting	Home	46%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.50 for the home side, 1.12 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with 76% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Fulham vs Crystal Palace.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Fulham and 1.20 for Crystal Palace. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fulham and Crystal Palace play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.