⚽ Premier League
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fulham vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace
Fulham vs Crystal Palace finished 2-3. Crystal Palace won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Fulham face Crystal Palace in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Fulham have 1 win from their last 5, while Crystal Palace have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Crystal Palace won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fulham vs Crystal Palace with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Fulham with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fulham win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Fulham and Crystal Palace. Wins shown from Fulham’s perspective: 1 drawn · Crystal Palace 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Fulham | 2 – 3 | Crystal Palace | L |
| 2026-08-07 | Fulham | 1 – 2 | Crystal Palace | L |
| 2026-01-01 | Crystal Palace | 1 – 1 | Fulham | D |
| 2025-12-07 | Fulham | 1 – 2 | Crystal Palace | L |
| 2025-02-22 | Fulham | 0 – 2 | Crystal Palace | L |
📈 Recent form
Fulham come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at West Ham. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Crystal Palace.
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
- WWest Ham 2-3 FulhamLeague Cup
- DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
- LFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League
- LSunderland 1-0 FulhamPremier League
Crystal Palace come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Lech Poznan. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Ipswich.
- DLeeds 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
- WCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
- LCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
- WCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup
- WFulham 2-3 Crystal PalacePremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. CairneyKnee Injury
- L. De FougerollesInjury
- J. MatetaHamstring Injury
- C. RiadKnee Injury
- I. SarrGroin Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fulham at 45% to win and Crystal Palace at 27%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham Win | 45% | 41% | @ 2.32 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | @ 3.45 |
| Crystal Palace Win | 27% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fulham or Draw at 1.37 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham or Draw | 72% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Crystal Palace or Draw | 54% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | @ 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 56% | @ 1.66 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fulham or Crystal Palace is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham +1.5 | 89% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Fulham +1.25 | 85% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Crystal Palace +1.75 | 80% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Fulham +1 | 80% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Crystal Palace +1.5 | 77% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Fulham +0.75 | 76% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Fulham +0.5 | 72% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Crystal Palace +1.25 | 71% | 77% | 1.25 |
| Crystal Palace +1 | 65% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Fulham +0.25 | 65% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Crystal Palace +0.75 | 60% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Fulham 0 | 59% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Crystal Palace +0.5 | 54% | 59% | 1.64 |
| Fulham -0.25 | 53% | 48% | @ 2.02 |
| Crystal Palace +0.25 | 47% | 52% | 1.86 |
| Fulham -0.5 | 46% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Crystal Palace 0 | 41% | 42% | 2.28 |
| Fulham -0.75 | 40% | 35% | @ 2.76 |
| Fulham -1 | 35% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Crystal Palace -0.25 | 35% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Fulham -1.25 | 29% | 23% | @ 4.07 |
| Crystal Palace -0.5 | 28% | 30% | 3.16 |
| Crystal Palace -0.75 | 24% | 24% | 3.96 |
| Fulham -1.5 | 23% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Fulham -1.75 | 20% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Crystal Palace -1 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Crystal Palace -1.25 | 15% | 16% | 6.00 |
| Crystal Palace -1.5 | 11% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Our model's main pick is Fulham with a +0.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Our model makes a Fulham win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Fulham vs Crystal Palace.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Fulham and 1.20 for Crystal Palace. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fulham and Crystal Palace play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Benevento
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Cesena
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Mantova
CremoneseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.