Fri 28 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FK

Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Gençlerbirliği face Erzurumspor FK in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Erzurumspor FK +1.5 @ 1.29
81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.50 – 1.34 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.8% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
1 8.8% 11.7% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2%
2 6.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
3 3.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Gençlerbirliği winDrawErzurumspor FK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Erzurumspor FK with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 81% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Gençlerbirliği

Gençlerbirliği come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Göztepe. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Başakşehir.

  • LBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • LTrabzonspor 5-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WGöztepe 0-1 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Samsunspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Beşiktaş.

  • WErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • LBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • LErzurumspor FK 0-4 GalatasaraySüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Gençlerbirliği
  • D. DemirKnee Injury
  • C. NiasseNot in squad
  • K. RodriguesNot in squad
Erzurumspor FK

No absentees reported.

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gençlerbirliği or Draw at 1.23 (67% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Gençlerbirliği or Draw 67% 74% @ 1.23
Erzurumspor FK or Draw 60% 53% @ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 78% 74% @ 1.24
Under 3.5 68% 68% @ 1.34
Over 2.5 54% 51% @ 1.78
Under 2.5 46% 49% @ 1.89
Over 3.5 32% 32% @ 2.90
Under 1.5 22% 26% @ 3.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 57% 55% @ 1.66
BTTS No 43% 45% @ 2.04

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Gençlerbirliği or Erzurumspor FK is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Erzurumspor FK +2 87% 85% 1.12
Gençlerbirliği +1.5 86% 86% 1.10
Erzurumspor FK +1.75 84% 78% 1.21
Erzurumspor FK +1.5 81% 73% 1.29
Gençlerbirliği +1.25 81% 86% 1.10
Gençlerbirliği +1 76% 86% 1.10
Erzurumspor FK +1.25 76% 69% 1.38
Gençlerbirliği +0.75 72% 80% 1.19
Erzurumspor FK +1 70% 65% 1.47
Gençlerbirliği +0.5 67% – 1.26
Erzurumspor FK +0.75 65% 56% 1.69
Gençlerbirliği +0.25 60% 72% 1.32
Erzurumspor FK +0.5 60% 51% 1.85
Gençlerbirliği 0 54% 66% 1.42
Erzurumspor FK +0.25 53% 43% 2.23
Gençlerbirliği -0.25 47% 57% 1.67
Erzurumspor FK 0 46% 34% 2.81
Gençlerbirliği -0.5 40% 49% 1.92
Erzurumspor FK -0.25 40% 28% 3.40
Gençlerbirliği -0.75 35% 44% 2.19
Gençlerbirliği -1 30% 35% 2.73
Erzurumspor FK -0.75 28% 20% 4.71
Gençlerbirliği -1.25 24% 31% 3.09
Erzurumspor FK -1 24% 14% 7.00
Gençlerbirliği -1.5 19% 27% 3.48
Erzurumspor FK -1.25 19% 14% 7.00
Gençlerbirliği -1.75 16% 22% 4.25
Erzurumspor FK -1.5 14% 14% 7.00
Gençlerbirliği -2 13% 15% 6.40

📈 How the market moved

21%37%52%08/2508/2608/2708/28

Gençlerbirliği 48%Draw 26%Erzurumspor FK 25%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK?

Our model's main pick is Erzurumspor FK with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Gençlerbirliği vs Erzurumspor FK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Gençlerbirliği and 1.34 for Erzurumspor FK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gençlerbirliği and Erzurumspor FK play?

Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.