Sat 15 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Result: Gençlerbirliği 2-1 Fenerbahçe

Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe finished 2-1. Gençlerbirliği won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Gençlerbirliği face Fenerbahçe in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.57
66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.97 – 2.44 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.3% 8.1% 9.8% 8.0% 4.9%
1 3.2% 7.8% 9.5% 7.8% 4.7%
2 1.6% 3.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Projected score: 0-2
Gençlerbirliği winDrawFenerbahçe win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

66%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Gençlerbirliği

Gençlerbirliği come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Göztepe. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Başakşehir.

  • LBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • LTrabzonspor 5-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WGöztepe 0-1 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at home to Eyüpspor. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Beşiktaş.

  • WFenerbahçe 8-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • DGaziantep FK 0-0 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
  • DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
  • LFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Gençlerbirliği
  • D. DemirKnee Injury
Fenerbahçe
  • A. DioufLacking Match Fitness
  • EdersonIllness
  • M. GunokMuscle Injury
  • A. MusabaInjury
  • J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
  • C. SoyuncuInjury

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fenerbahçe or Draw at 1.06 (88% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Fenerbahçe or Draw 88% 88% @ 1.06
Gençlerbirliği or Draw 31% 31% @ 2.85

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 85% 78% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 66% 58% @ 1.57
Under 3.5 56% 62% @ 1.47
Over 3.5 44% 38% @ 2.43
Under 2.5 34% 42% @ 2.20
Under 1.5 15% 22% @ 4.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 57% 50% @ 1.83
BTTS No 43% 50% @ 1.84

📈 How the market moved

9%40%71%08/1008/1108/1208/1308/1408/15

Gençlerbirliği 13%Draw 20%Fenerbahçe 67%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

What is the predicted score for Gençlerbirliği vs Fenerbahçe?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.97 for Gençlerbirliği and 2.44 for Fenerbahçe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gençlerbirliği and Fenerbahçe play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.