Sun 13 Sep1-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: Gençlerbirliği 1-2 Kasımpaşa

Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa finished 1-2. Kasımpaşa won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.32, landed.

Gençlerbirliği face Kasımpaşa in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Gençlerbirliği have 2 wins from their last 4, while Kasımpaşa have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Gençlerbirliği won 1, Kasımpaşa won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Kasımpaşa win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.5-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.32
83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.48 – 1.70 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4%
1 6.2% 10.5% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1%
2 4.6% 7.7% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6%
3 2.2% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Gençlerbirliği winDrawKasımpaşa win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Kasımpaşa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Gençlerbirliği 35%Draw 22%Kasımpaşa 44%
35%22%44%
44%
Kasımpaşa Win
62%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Gençlerbirliği and Kasımpaşa. Wins shown from Gençlerbirliği’s perspective: Gençlerbirliği 1 · Kasımpaşa 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-13 Gençlerbirliği 1 – 2 Kasımpaşa L
2026-07-24 Kasımpaşa 3 – 0 Gençlerbirliği L
2026-05-09 Gençlerbirliği 3 – 2 Kasımpaşa W

📈 Recent form

Gençlerbirliği

Gençlerbirliği come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Göztepe. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Başakşehir.

  • LBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • LTrabzonspor 5-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • DGençlerbirliği 1-1 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
  • WGöztepe 0-1 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Gençlerbirliği.

  • DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • WGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
  • DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • WÇorum FK 0-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Gençlerbirliği
  • D. DemirKnee Injury
  • K. RodriguesNot in squad
  • C. NiasseNot in squad
Kasımpaşa
  • K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury
  • T. DiarraNot in squad
  • A. BaldurssonInjury
  • H. HajradinovicNot in squad
  • M. OuanesNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gençlerbirliği at 35% to win and Kasımpaşa at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Kasımpaşa win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Kasımpaşa Win 44% 31% @ 3.00
Gençlerbirliği Win 35% 39% @ 2.38
Draw 22% 29% @ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kasımpaşa or Draw at 1.50 (68% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Kasımpaşa or Draw 68% 61% @ 1.50
Gençlerbirliği or Draw 59% 69% @ 1.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 83% 70% @ 1.32
Over 2.5 62% 45% @ 2.04
Under 3.5 61% 75% @ 1.22
Over 3.5 39% 25% @ 3.75
Under 2.5 38% 55% @ 1.67
Under 1.5 17% 30% @ 3.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 62% 51% @ 1.78
BTTS No 38% 49% @ 1.89

📈 How the market moved

24%35%46%09/0809/0909/1009/1109/1209/13

Gençlerbirliği 40%Draw 30%Kasımpaşa 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa?

Our model makes a Kasımpaşa win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.7 scoreline for Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa.

What is the predicted score for Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Gençlerbirliği and 1.70 for Kasımpaşa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gençlerbirliği and Kasımpaşa play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.