Girona

Sat 29 Aug5-2Finished

Las Palmas

⚽ Segunda División

Girona vs Las Palmas Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Girona vs Las Palmas in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Girona 5-2 Las Palmas

Girona vs Las Palmas finished 5-2. Girona won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Girona face Las Palmas in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Girona won 4, Las Palmas won 1. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Girona vs Las Palmas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.89 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	5.4%	3.4%	1.4%	0.5%
1	8.0%	10.2%	6.5%	2.7%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.6%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
3	4.8%	6.1%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Girona winDrawLas Palmas win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Girona vs Las Palmas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

61%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Girona and Las Palmas. Wins shown from Girona’s perspective: Girona 4 · Las Palmas 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Girona	5 – 2	Las Palmas	W
2025-02-03	Girona	2 – 1	Las Palmas	W
2024-10-26	Las Palmas	1 – 0	Girona	L
2024-04-27	Las Palmas	0 – 2	Girona	W
2023-09-03	Girona	1 – 0	Las Palmas	W

📈 Recent form

Girona

Girona come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Las Palmas. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Castellón.

WCadiz 1-2 GironaSegunda División
LGirona 1-2 CastellónSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
WGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
LCordoba 2-1 GironaSegunda División

Las Palmas

Las Palmas come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Burgos.

LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
LGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
WAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Girona or Draw at 1.14 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Girona or Draw	76%	81%	@ 1.14
Las Palmas or Draw	49%	44%	@ 2.08

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	73%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	61%	51%	@ 1.81
Under 3.5	61%	70%	@ 1.30
Over 3.5	39%	30%	@ 3.05
Under 2.5	39%	49%	@ 1.86
Under 1.5	18%	27%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	39%	49%	@ 1.84

📈 How the market moved

Girona 55%Draw 26%Las Palmas 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Girona vs Las Palmas?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Las Palmas?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Girona and 1.27 for Las Palmas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Girona and Las Palmas play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.