⚽ Premier League
Hull City vs Aston Villa Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hull City vs Aston Villa in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa
Hull City vs Aston Villa finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Hull City face Aston Villa in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Aston Villa win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hull City vs Aston Villa with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Hull City vs Aston Villa comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Aston Villa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Hull City come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Coventry. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Newcastle.
- LNewcastle 2-1 Hull CityPremier League
- DChelsea 2-2 Hull CityPremier League
- LSunderland 1-0 Hull CityLeague Cup
- DHull City 0-0 Aston VillaPremier League
- WCoventry 0-1 Hull CityPremier League
Aston Villa come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Coventry. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Nottingham Forest.
- WTottenham 2-3 Aston VillaPremier League
- WCoventry 1-3 Aston VillaLeague Cup
- LAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- WClub Brugge KV 2-3 Aston VillaUEFA Champions League
- DHull City 0-0 Aston VillaPremier League
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- I. AnsahBack Injury
- J. ButlandArm Injury
- M. CrooksMuscle Injury
- D. GyabiGroin Injury
- C. HughesGroin Injury
- E. MatazoKnee Injury
- P. McNairFoot Injury
- H. MoritaCalf Injury
- Joao GomesSuspended (red card)
- B. MadjoAnkle Injury
- J. ManzambiKnee Injury
- A. OnanaKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Hull City at 23% to win and Aston Villa at 46%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an Aston Villa win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa Win | 46% | 50% | @ 1.89 |
| Draw | 31% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
| Hull City Win | 23% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Aston Villa or Draw at 1.23 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa or Draw | 74% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| Hull City or Draw | 51% | 50% | @ 1.90 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 51% | @ 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 26% | @ 3.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 54% | @ 1.72 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 46% | @ 2.02 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hull City or Aston Villa is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City +2 | 82% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Hull City +1.75 | 78% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Aston Villa +0.75 | 78% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Hull City +1.5 | 75% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Aston Villa +0.5 | 74% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Hull City +1.25 | 69% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Aston Villa +0.25 | 68% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Hull City +1 | 63% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Aston Villa 0 | 62% | 69% | 1.40 |
| Hull City +0.75 | 57% | 55% | 1.72 |
| Aston Villa -0.25 | 55% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Hull City +0.5 | 51% | 49% | @ 1.97 |
| Aston Villa -0.5 | 49% | 51% | 1.91 |
| Hull City +0.25 | 45% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Aston Villa -0.75 | 43% | 45% | 2.15 |
| Hull City 0 | 38% | 31% | @ 3.06 |
| Aston Villa -1 | 37% | 36% | 2.66 |
| Hull City -0.25 | 32% | 27% | @ 3.54 |
| Aston Villa -1.25 | 31% | 31% | 3.06 |
| Hull City -0.5 | 26% | 24% | @ 4.03 |
| Aston Villa -1.5 | 25% | 27% | 3.48 |
| Hull City -0.75 | 22% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Aston Villa -1.75 | 22% | 23% | 4.17 |
| Aston Villa -2 | 18% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Our model makes an Aston Villa win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Hull City vs Aston Villa.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Aston Villa?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Hull City and 1.38 for Aston Villa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Hull City and Aston Villa play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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