Fri 4 Sep0-2Finished

⚽ Premier League

Ipswich vs Liverpool Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ipswich vs Liverpool in the Premier League. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool

Ipswich vs Liverpool finished 0-2. Liverpool won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Ipswich face Liverpool in the upcoming Premier League tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Liverpool won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.2-2.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ipswich vs Liverpool with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.44
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.20 – 2.76 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.9% 5.3% 7.3% 6.7% 4.6%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.7% 8.0% 5.5%
2 1.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.8% 3.3%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-2
Ipswich winDrawLiverpool win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Ipswich vs Liverpool comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Liverpool win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

Ipswich 14%Draw 24%Liverpool 62%
14%24%62%
62%
Liverpool Win
76%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Ipswich and Liverpool. Wins shown from Ipswich’s perspective: Liverpool 3.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-04 Ipswich 0 – 2 Liverpool L
2025-01-25 Liverpool 4 – 1 Ipswich L
2024-08-17 Ipswich 0 – 2 Liverpool L

📈 Recent form

Ipswich

Ipswich come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Everton.

  • LEverton 1-0 IpswichPremier League
  • LIpswich 2-4 ArsenalLeague Cup
  • WCrystal Palace 2-3 IpswichPremier League
  • LIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League
  • LManchester United 5-2 IpswichPremier League
Liverpool

Liverpool come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Tottenham.

  • WBournemouth 0-1 LiverpoolPremier League
  • WLiverpool 3-1 TottenhamLeague Cup
  • DLiverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
  • WLiverpool 2-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
  • WIpswich 0-2 LiverpoolPremier League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Ipswich
  • A. MatusiwaInjury
  • J. PhilogeneInjury
  • J. TaylorKnee Injury
  • FlorentinoNot in squad
Liverpool
  • C. BradleyKnee Injury
  • F. ChiesaBack Injury
  • H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
  • J. GomezInjury
  • G. LeoniKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Ipswich at 14% to win and Liverpool at 62%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Liverpool Win 62% 65% @ 1.45
Draw 24% 19% @ 4.90
Ipswich Win 14% 15% @ 6.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Liverpool or Draw at 1.12 (84% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Liverpool or Draw 84% 85% @ 1.12
Ipswich or Draw 37% 35% @ 2.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 90% 84% @ 1.12
Over 2.5 76% 66% @ 1.44
Over 3.5 56% 45% @ 2.12
Under 3.5 44% 55% @ 1.71
Under 2.5 24% 34% @ 2.75
Under 1.5 10% 16% @ 6.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 65% 60% @ 1.56
BTTS No 35% 40% @ 2.30

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ipswich or Liverpool is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Liverpool +0.75 87% 86% 1.10
Liverpool +0.5 84% 82% 1.14
Liverpool +0.25 79% – 1.21
Liverpool 0 74% 78% 1.22
Ipswich +2 71% 71% 1.34
Liverpool -0.25 68% 70% 1.35
Ipswich +1.75 66% 63% 1.50
Liverpool -0.5 63% 64% 1.47
Ipswich +1.5 62% 57% @ 1.65
Liverpool -0.75 57% 60% 1.59
Ipswich +1.25 55% 53% @ 1.83
Liverpool -1 51% 54% 1.76
Ipswich +1 49% 46% @ 2.07
Liverpool -1.25 45% 47% 2.04
Ipswich +0.75 43% 40% @ 2.39
Liverpool -1.5 38% 43% 2.21
Ipswich +0.5 37% 36% 2.64
Liverpool -1.75 34% 37% 2.61
Ipswich +0.25 32% 30% @ 3.23
Liverpool -2 29% 29% 3.27
Ipswich 0 26% 22% @ 4.42
Ipswich -0.5 16% 18% 5.33
Ipswich -0.75 13% 14% 7.00

📈 How the market moved

12%40%68%08/3008/3109/0109/0209/0309/04

Ipswich 16%Draw 20%Liverpool 64%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Liverpool?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Liverpool?

Our model makes a Liverpool win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.8 scoreline for Ipswich vs Liverpool.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Liverpool?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Ipswich and 2.76 for Liverpool. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Ipswich and Liverpool play?

Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.