⚽ Super League 1

Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Kalamata face Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Aris Thessalonikis win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 0.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Aris Thessalonikis or Draw @ 1.30

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.90 – 1.53 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	13.5%	10.3%	5.3%	2.0%
1	7.9%	12.1%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.6%	5.5%	4.2%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.1%	1.6%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Kalamata winDrawAris Thessalonikis win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Aris Thessalonikis or Draw at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates an Aris Thessalonikis win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Kalamata 22%Draw 26%Aris Thessalonikis 52%

22%26%52%

52%

Aris Thessalonikis Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Kalamata

Kalamata come into this game with 3 wins from their last 3, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Panetolikos.

WKalamata 4-2 PanetolikosCup
WVolos NFC 0-2 KalamataFriendlies Clubs
WKalamata 1-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 2

Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Levadiakos. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-6 at Napoli.

WAnagennisi Karditsas 0-2 Aris ThessalonikisCup
LNapoli 6-2 Aris ThessalonikisFriendlies Clubs
WMonza 1-3 Aris ThessalonikisFriendlies Clubs
WAris Thessalonikis 3-0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
WVolos NFC 1-2 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kalamata at 22% to win and Aris Thessalonikis at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Aris Thessalonikis win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Kalamata Win	22%	@ 3.35	n/a
Draw	26%	@ 2.98	n/a
Aris Thessalonikis Win	52%	@ 2.20	n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kalamata or Draw at 1.62 (47% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Kalamata or Draw	47%	@ 1.62	n/a
Aris Thessalonikis or Draw	77%	@ 1.30	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	70%	@ 1.45	n/a
Under 1.5	30%	@ 2.62	n/a
Over 2.5	44%	@ 2.30	n/a
Under 2.5	56%	@ 1.57	n/a
Over 3.5	23%	@ 4.33	n/a
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.20	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	46%	@ 1.93	n/a
BTTS No	54%	@ 1.73	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	52%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.01 for the home side, 1.66 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our main pick is Aris Thessalonikis or Draw at odds 1.30, with 77% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our model makes an Aris Thessalonikis win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis.

What is the predicted score for Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.90 for Kalamata and 1.53 for Aris Thessalonikis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kalamata and Aris Thessalonikis play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.