Sun 6 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa vs Amed Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kasımpaşa vs Amed in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: Kasımpaşa 2-2 Amed

Kasımpaşa vs Amed finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kasımpaşa face Amed in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Kasımpaşa have 2 wins from their last 5, while Amed have 2 wins from their last 3. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kasımpaşa vs Amed with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Kasımpaşa or Draw @ 1.26
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 0.65 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 13.4% 8.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 18.2% 11.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
2 12.4% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Kasımpaşa winDrawAmed win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Amed comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kasımpaşa or Draw at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points no (64%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

67%
Under 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Gençlerbirliği.

  • DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • WGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
  • DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • WÇorum FK 0-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
Amed

Amed come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Başakşehir. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Kocaelispor.

  • WAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • WAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
  • DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
  • WAmed 2-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Kasımpaşa
  • K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury
  • T. DiarraNot in squad
  • H. HajradinovicNot in squad
  • M. OuanesNot in squad
Amed
  • Y. SorInjury
  • M. YildirimNot in squad

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kasımpaşa or Draw at 1.26 (80% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Kasımpaşa or Draw 80% 73% @ 1.26
Amed or Draw 44% 56% @ 1.63

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 86% 74% @ 1.24
Under 2.5 67% 54% @ 1.70
Over 1.5 60% 71% @ 1.30
Under 1.5 40% 29% @ 3.15
Over 2.5 33% 46% @ 1.98
Over 3.5 14% 26% @ 3.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 64%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 64% 48% @ 1.90
BTTS Yes 36% 52% @ 1.77

📈 How the market moved

24%36%48%09/0109/0209/0309/0409/0509/06

Kasımpaşa 40%Draw 29%Amed 31%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?

Our model's main pick is Kasımpaşa or Draw at odds 1.26, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Kasımpaşa and 0.65 for Amed. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kasımpaşa and Amed play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.