Sat 15 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Result: Kasımpaşa 1-1 Trabzonspor

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kasımpaşa face Trabzonspor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.38
90%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 0.58 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 17.7% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 20.4% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 11.7% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Kasımpaşa winDrawTrabzonspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 90% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points no (70%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

75%
Under 2.5 goals
70%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Gençlerbirliği.

  • DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • WGençlerbirliği 1-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • DKasımpaşa 2-2 AmedSüper Lig
  • DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • WÇorum FK 0-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Konyaspor.

  • WTrabzonspor 4-0 GalatasaraySüper Lig
  • LKonyaspor 1-0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • WTrabzonspor 5-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LAmed 2-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LFerencváros 4-0 TrabzonsporUEFA Europa League

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Kasımpaşa
  • K. CorekciAchilles Tendon Injury
Trabzonspor
  • A. BatagovKnee Injury
  • T. Jabol-FolcarelliKnee Injury
  • E. MuciHamstring Injury
  • O. YokusluLacking Match Fitness

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kasımpaşa or Draw at 1.96 (78% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Kasımpaşa or Draw 78% 46% @ 1.96
Trabzonspor or Draw 47% 78% @ 1.18

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 90% 66% @ 1.38
Under 2.5 75% 45% @ 2.02
Over 1.5 52% 76% @ 1.21
Under 1.5 48% 24% @ 3.80
Over 2.5 25% 55% @ 1.68
Over 3.5 10% 34% @ 2.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 70%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 70% 44% @ 2.06
BTTS Yes 30% 56% @ 1.65

📈 How the market moved

18%38%57%08/1008/1108/1208/1308/1408/15

Kasımpaşa 23%Draw 25%Trabzonspor 52%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 90% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Kasımpaşa and 0.58 for Trabzonspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.