Sun 6 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kocaelispor 1-0 Samsunspor

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor finished 1-0. Kocaelispor won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kocaelispor face Samsunspor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Kocaelispor have 2 wins from their last 5, while Samsunspor have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Samsunspor win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Samsunspor or Draw @ 1.45

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.03 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	12.7%	8.1%	3.4%	1.1%
1	10.3%	13.1%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.3%	6.8%	4.3%	1.8%	0.6%
3	1.8%	2.3%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Kocaelispor winDrawSamsunspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Samsunspor or Draw at odds 1.45, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Samsunspor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Kocaelispor 32%Draw 26%Samsunspor 42%

32%26%42%

42%

Samsunspor Win

60%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Gaziantep FK. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Galatasaray.

WKocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
LGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
WKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
WKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
WKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Rizespor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Kocaelispor

A. JovanovicKnee Injury
B. PetkovicHamstring Injury
R. RivasNot in squad

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
T. CoulibalyNot in squad
F. KayaInjury
MariusNot in squad
A. SousaNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad
E. WattNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kocaelispor at 32% to win and Samsunspor at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Samsunspor win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Samsunspor Win	42%	34%	@ 2.75
Kocaelispor Win	32%	37%	@ 2.55
Draw	26%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Samsunspor or Draw at 1.45 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Samsunspor or Draw	68%	63%	@ 1.45
Kocaelispor or Draw	58%	66%	@ 1.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	80%	76%	@ 1.22
Over 1.5	67%	69%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	60%	55%	@ 1.66
Over 2.5	40%	45%	@ 2.06
Under 1.5	33%	31%	@ 3.00
Over 3.5	20%	24%	@ 3.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	49%	@ 1.87
BTTS Yes	44%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

Kocaelispor 38%Draw 31%Samsunspor 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

Our model's main pick is Samsunspor or Draw at odds 1.45, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

Who is the favourite for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

Our model makes a Samsunspor win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.3 scoreline for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor.

What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.03 for Kocaelispor and 1.27 for Samsunspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kocaelispor and Samsunspor play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.