⚽ Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Kocaelispor face Samsunspor in the Süper Lig, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Kocaelispor have 2 wins from their last 5, while Samsunspor have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Samsunspor win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Samsunspor or Draw @ 1.45

71%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.99 – 1.40 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	12.8%	9.0%	4.2%	1.5%
1	9.1%	12.7%	8.9%	4.1%	1.5%
2	4.5%	6.3%	4.4%	2.1%	0.7%
3	1.5%	2.1%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Kocaelispor winDrawSamsunspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Samsunspor or Draw at odds 1.45, the selection our model is most confident in at 71%. On the match result, the model rates a Samsunspor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 1.87 (+5.5% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 1.87, 56% model probability, +5.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Kocaelispor 29%Draw 25%Samsunspor 46%

29%25%46%

46%

Samsunspor Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

+5.5%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor come into this game with 2 wins from their last 3, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Amed. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Başakşehir.

WKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
WKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig
LBaşakşehir 2-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Rizespor. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Fenerbahçe.

LSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig
DSamsunspor 3-3 GöztepeSüper Lig
WKVC Westerlo 1-2 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs
WAEK Athens FC 1-2 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Kocaelispor

T. BingolNot in squad
T. GulliksenNot in squad
A. JovanovicKnee Injury
B. PetkovicHamstring Injury
R. RivasNot in squad

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
T. CoulibalyNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad
F. KayaInjury
MariusNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kocaelispor at 29% to win and Samsunspor at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Samsunspor win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Samsunspor Win	46%	@ 2.75	+26.8%
Draw	25%	@ 3.25	-19.5%
Kocaelispor Win	29%	@ 2.55	-25.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Samsunspor or Draw at 1.45 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Samsunspor or Draw	71%	@ 1.45	+3.5%
Kocaelispor or Draw	54%	@ 1.38	-25.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.22	-4.7%
Under 2.5	57%	@ 1.66	-5.0%
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.00	-6.8%
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.33	-8.3%
Over 2.5	43%	@ 2.06	-11.9%
Over 3.5	22%	@ 3.80	-16.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	56%	@ 1.87	+5.5%
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 1.80	-21.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	42%
Dixon-Coles	Away	64%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.13 for the home side, 1.49 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

Our main pick is Samsunspor or Draw at odds 1.45, with 71% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 1.87 (+5.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

Our model makes a Samsunspor win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.4 scoreline for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor.

What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.99 for Kocaelispor and 1.40 for Samsunspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kocaelispor and Samsunspor play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.