Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty⚽ Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty in the Premier League. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.
Result: Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 Karpaty
Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty finished 0-2. Karpaty won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 2.5 goals at 1.68, landed.
Kolos Kovalivka face Karpaty in the Premier League, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Kolos Kovalivka have no wins from their last 4, while Karpaty have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Karpaty win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 0.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.9% | 21.9% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Karpaty win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (80%), both teams to score points no (75%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Kolos Kovalivka come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Kudrivka. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Karpaty.
- WKudrivka 2-3 Kolos KovalivkaPremier League
- LKolos Kovalivka 0-2 KarpatyPremier League
- DKryvbas KR 2-2 Kolos KovalivkaPremier League
- DKolos Kovalivka 0-0 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
- LKolos Kovalivka 0-3 UCSACup
Karpaty come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Kolos Kovalivka. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Shakhtar Donetsk.
- DKarpaty 1-1 Veres RivnePremier League
- WKolos Kovalivka 0-2 KarpatyPremier League
- LKarpaty 1-2 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
- DLivyi Bereh 1-1 KarpatyPremier League
- WKarpaty 2-0 Obolon'-BrovarCup
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Kolos Kovalivka at 19% to win and Karpaty at 45%, with the draw at 36%. Our model makes a Karpaty win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty Win | 45% | 36% | @ 2.48 |
| Draw | 36% | 29% | @ 3.10 |
| Kolos Kovalivka Win | 19% | 35% | @ 2.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Karpaty or Draw at 1.36 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty or Draw | 76% | 65% | @ 1.36 |
| Kolos Kovalivka or Draw | 49% | 64% | @ 1.38 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 80% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 93% | 73% | @ 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 80% | 54% | @ 1.68 |
| Under 1.5 | 55% | 31% | @ 2.95 |
| Over 1.5 | 45% | 69% | @ 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 46% | @ 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 | 7% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 75%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 75% | 48% | @ 1.92 |
| BTTS Yes | 25% | 52% | @ 1.75 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kolos Kovalivka or Karpaty is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty +1.5 | 91% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Karpaty +1.25 | 87% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Karpaty +1 | 83% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Karpaty +0.75 | 80% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Kolos Kovalivka +1.75 | 77% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Karpaty +0.5 | 76% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Kolos Kovalivka +1.5 | 73% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Karpaty +0.25 | 70% | 66% | 1.42 |
| Kolos Kovalivka +1.25 | 67% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Karpaty 0 | 63% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Kolos Kovalivka +1 | 61% | 70% | 1.34 |
| Karpaty -0.25 | 57% | 52% | @ 1.83 |
| Kolos Kovalivka +0.75 | 55% | 61% | 1.52 |
| Karpaty -0.5 | 51% | 45% | @ 2.08 |
| Kolos Kovalivka +0.5 | 49% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Karpaty -0.75 | 45% | 39% | @ 2.42 |
| Kolos Kovalivka +0.25 | 43% | 48% | 1.98 |
| Karpaty -1 | 39% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Kolos Kovalivka 0 | 37% | 39% | 2.40 |
| Karpaty -1.25 | 33% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
| Kolos Kovalivka -0.25 | 30% | 34% | 2.77 |
| Karpaty -1.5 | 27% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Kolos Kovalivka -0.5 | 24% | 29% | 3.23 |
| Karpaty -1.75 | 23% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Kolos Kovalivka -0.75 | 20% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Kolos Kovalivka -1 | 17% | 16% | 6.00 |
| Kolos Kovalivka -1.25 | 13% | 14% | 6.60 |
| Kolos Kovalivka -1.5 | 9% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.68, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 54%.
Who is the favourite for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
Our model makes a Karpaty win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 0.5-1.0 scoreline for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty.
What is the predicted score for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.52 for Kolos Kovalivka and 1.00 for Karpaty. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty play?
Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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