Sat 29 Aug1-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Result: Konyaspor 1-2 Kocaelispor

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor finished 1-2. Kocaelispor won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Konyaspor face Kocaelispor in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Konyaspor have no wins from their last 5, while Kocaelispor have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Konyaspor win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.1-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 2.5 @ 1.64
74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.07 – 0.71 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 16.9% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 18.0% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
2 9.7% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Konyaspor winDrawKocaelispor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.64, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Konyaspor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean under 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points no (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Konyaspor 44%Draw 33%Kocaelispor 24%
44%33%24%
44%
Konyaspor Win
74%
Under 2.5 goals
66%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Konyaspor

Konyaspor come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Trabzonspor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

  • DKasımpaşa 0-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • WKonyaspor 1-0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LErzurumspor FK 1-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
  • LKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • LFenerbahçe 4-2 KonyasporSüper Lig
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Gaziantep FK. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Galatasaray.

  • WKocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • LGalatasaray 1-0 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • WKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • WKonyaspor 1-2 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • WKocaelispor 2-0 AmedSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Konyaspor

No absentees reported.

Kocaelispor
  • T. BingolNot in squad
  • A. JovanovicKnee Injury
  • B. PetkovicHamstring Injury
  • R. RivasNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Konyaspor at 44% to win and Kocaelispor at 24%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Konyaspor win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Konyaspor Win 44% 46% @ 2.02
Draw 33% 28% @ 3.35
Kocaelispor Win 24% 26% @ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Konyaspor or Draw at 1.23 (73% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Konyaspor or Draw 73% 74% @ 1.23
Kocaelispor or Draw 53% 54% @ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 89% 75% @ 1.22
Under 2.5 74% 56% @ 1.64
Over 1.5 53% 68% @ 1.34
Under 1.5 47% 32% @ 2.88
Over 2.5 26% 44% @ 2.08
Over 3.5 11% 25% @ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 66%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 66% 51% @ 1.80
BTTS Yes 34% 49% @ 1.87

📈 How the market moved

21%36%51%08/2508/2608/2708/2808/29

Konyaspor 47%Draw 28%Kocaelispor 25%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.64, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

Who is the favourite for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our model makes a Konyaspor win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.7 scoreline for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor.

What is the predicted score for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.07 for Konyaspor and 0.71 for Kocaelispor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Konyaspor and Kocaelispor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.