⚽ Segunda División

Las Palmas vs Albacete Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Las Palmas vs Albacete in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Las Palmas face Albacete in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Las Palmas vs Albacete with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	9.1%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
1	10.2%	12.5%	7.7%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.0%	8.6%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.2%	3.9%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Las Palmas winDrawAlbacete win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Albacete is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a Las Palmas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Albacete or Draw at odds 2.15 (+27.4% model value).

Best value

Albacete or Draw at odds 2.15, 59% model probability, +27.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Las Palmas 40%Draw 28%Albacete 32%

40%28%32%

40%

Las Palmas Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

+27.4%

Best value: Albacete or Draw

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Las Palmas at 40% to win and Albacete at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Albacete Win	32%	@ 5.00	+61.4%
Draw	28%	@ 3.75	+3.8%
Las Palmas Win	40%	@ 1.65	-33.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Albacete or Draw at 2.15 (59% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Albacete or Draw	59%	@ 2.15	+27.4%
Las Palmas or Draw	67%	@ 1.17	-21.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	74%	@ 1.30	-4.3%
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.30	-4.8%
Under 2.5	52%	@ 1.83	-5.1%
Over 2.5	48%	@ 1.95	-6.1%
Over 3.5	26%	@ 3.45	-8.9%
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.40	-9.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.85	-5.8%
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.80	-11.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	45%
Dixon-Coles	Away	40%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.38 for the home side, 1.22 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Albacete?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Albacete or Draw at 2.15 (+27.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Albacete?

Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Las Palmas vs Albacete.

What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Albacete?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Las Palmas and 1.23 for Albacete. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Las Palmas and Albacete play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.