Las Palmas
Leganes⚽ Segunda División
Las Palmas vs Leganes Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Las Palmas vs Leganes in the Segunda División. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Las Palmas 0-0 Leganes
Las Palmas vs Leganes finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Las Palmas face Leganes in the Segunda División, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Las Palmas have 2 wins from their last 5, while Leganes have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Las Palmas won 1, Leganes won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 1.6-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Las Palmas vs Leganes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 17.2% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 13.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Las Palmas vs Leganes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Las Palmas to win or draw at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Las Palmas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (63%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Las Palmas and Leganes. Wins shown from Las Palmas’s perspective: Las Palmas 1 · 1 drawn · Leganes 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Las Palmas | 0 – 0 | Leganes | D |
| 2026-04-17 | Las Palmas | 2 – 0 | Leganes | W |
| 2025-05-18 | Las Palmas | 0 – 1 | Leganes | L |
| 2024-08-25 | Leganes | 2 – 1 | Las Palmas | L |
📈 Recent form
Las Palmas come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at AD Ceuta FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Burgos.
- LLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
- WCadiz 0-1 Las PalmasSegunda División
- DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
- LGirona 5-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
- WAD Ceuta FC 0-2 Las PalmasSegunda División
Leganes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Tenerife.
- WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
- LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
- DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
- WLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
- WOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Las Palmas at 60% to win and Leganes at 15%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas Win | 60% | 46% | @ 1.96 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | @ 3.20 |
| Leganes Win | 15% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Las Palmas or Draw at 1.23 (83% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas or Draw | 83% | 74% | @ 1.23 |
| Leganes or Draw | 38% | 54% | @ 1.71 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 82% | 76% | @ 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 69% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 56% | @ 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 35% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 63% | 51% | @ 1.79 |
| BTTS Yes | 37% | 49% | @ 1.85 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Las Palmas or Leganes is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas +0.75 | 86% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Las Palmas +0.5 | 83% | 76% | @ 1.26 |
| Las Palmas +0.25 | 78% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Leganes +2 | 73% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Las Palmas 0 | 72% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Leganes +1.75 | 68% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Las Palmas -0.25 | 67% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Leganes +1.5 | 63% | 75% | 1.25 |
| Las Palmas -0.5 | 62% | 48% | @ 1.98 |
| Leganes +1.25 | 57% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Las Palmas -0.75 | 55% | 40% | @ 2.37 |
| Leganes +1 | 51% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Las Palmas -1 | 49% | 31% | @ 3.07 |
| Leganes +0.75 | 45% | 60% | 1.60 |
| Las Palmas -1.25 | 43% | 27% | @ 3.51 |
| Leganes +0.5 | 38% | 52% | 1.80 |
| Las Palmas -1.5 | 37% | 25% | @ 3.79 |
| Leganes +0.25 | 33% | 45% | 2.12 |
| Las Palmas -1.75 | 32% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Leganes 0 | 28% | 34% | 2.83 |
| Las Palmas -2 | 27% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Leganes -0.25 | 22% | 28% | 3.39 |
| Leganes -0.5 | 17% | 24% | 3.89 |
| Leganes -0.75 | 14% | 19% | 5.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Leganes?
Our model's main pick is Las Palmas to win or draw at odds 1.26, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Leganes?
Our model makes a Las Palmas win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.6 scoreline for Las Palmas vs Leganes.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Leganes?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Las Palmas and 0.64 for Leganes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Las Palmas and Leganes play?
Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Benevento
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Cesena
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Mantova
CremoneseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.