⚽ UEFA Champions League
Lille vs Galatasaray Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lille vs Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Result: Lille 2-4 Galatasaray
Lille vs Galatasaray finished 2-4. Galatasaray won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Lille face Galatasaray in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. The bookmaker market makes a Lille win the most likely result at 43%, implying a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lille vs Galatasaray with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Lille vs Galatasaray comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Galatasaray with a +1 start at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Lille win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Lille come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Le Havre. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to Galatasaray.
- LLille 2-4 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
- DLille 1-1 BrestLigue 1
- LArsenal 3-0 LilleUEFA Champions League
- WLille 1-0 Le HavreLigue 1
- WLille 2-1 Zulte WaregemFriendlies Clubs
Galatasaray come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Lille. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Barcelona.
- WLille 2-4 GalatasarayUEFA Champions League
- WGençlerbirliği 0-1 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- LGalatasaray 1-4 BarcelonaUEFA Champions League
- WGalatasaray 3-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
- LTrabzonspor 4-0 GalatasaraySüper Lig
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- H. IgamaneKnee Injury
- E. MbappeSuspended (red card)
- T. SantosKnee Injury
- A. UedaFoot Injury
- O. SahraouiNot in squad
- E. AydinOff the roster
- K. AyhanOff the roster
- A. GunerOff the roster
- K. KaratasOff the roster
- R. LeaoInjury
- A. UnyayOff the roster
- A. YilmazOff the roster
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lille at 53% to win and Galatasaray at 23%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Lille win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille Win | 53% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Galatasaray Win | 23% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lille or Draw at 1.36 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille or Draw | 77% | 68% | @ 1.36 |
| Galatasaray or Draw | 47% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 52% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lille or Galatasaray is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille +1.5 | 92% | 84% | @ 1.13 |
| Lille +1.25 | 88% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Lille +1 | 85% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Lille +0.75 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.27 |
| Galatasaray +2 | 79% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Lille +0.5 | 77% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Galatasaray +1.75 | 75% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Galatasaray +1.5 | 71% | 75% | 1.25 |
| Lille +0.25 | 71% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Galatasaray +1.25 | 65% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Lille 0 | 65% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Galatasaray +1 | 59% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Lille -0.25 | 59% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Galatasaray +0.75 | 53% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Lille -0.5 | 53% | 44% | @ 2.17 |
| Galatasaray +0.5 | 47% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Lille -0.75 | 47% | 38% | @ 2.54 |
| Lille -1 | 41% | 30% | @ 3.19 |
| Galatasaray +0.25 | 41% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Lille -1.25 | 35% | 26% | @ 3.62 |
| Galatasaray 0 | 35% | 42% | 2.30 |
| Galatasaray -0.25 | 29% | 36% | 2.67 |
| Lille -1.5 | 29% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Lille -1.75 | 25% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Galatasaray -0.5 | 23% | 31% | 3.06 |
| Lille -2 | 21% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Galatasaray -0.75 | 19% | 25% | 3.73 |
| Galatasaray -1 | 15% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Galatasaray -1.25 | 12% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Galatasaray -1.5 | 8% | 16% | 5.90 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lille vs Galatasaray?
Our pick is Galatasaray with a +1 start at odds 1.35, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Lille vs Galatasaray?
Our model makes a Lille win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Lille vs Galatasaray.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Galatasaray?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Lille and 1.42 for Galatasaray. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lille and Galatasaray play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 21 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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