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⚽ Championship

Lincoln vs Burnley Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lincoln vs Burnley in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lincoln face Burnley in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Lincoln have 1 win from their last 5, while Burnley have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 0.7-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lincoln vs Burnley with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

70%Bookmaker odds imply 70%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.71 – 2.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	12.8%	13.3%	9.2%	4.8%
1	4.4%	9.1%	9.4%	6.5%	3.4%
2	1.5%	3.2%	3.3%	2.3%	1.2%
3	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-2

Lincoln winDrawBurnley win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lincoln vs Burnley comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Burnley win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Lincoln 13%Draw 22%Burnley 65%

13%22%65%

65%

Burnley Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Lincoln

Lincoln come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Bristol City. Their most recent defeat was 0-6 at home to West Ham.

DMillwall 2-2 LincolnChampionship
LLincoln 0-6 West HamChampionship
LSheffield Utd 3-0 LincolnChampionship
LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship

Burnley

Burnley come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Watford. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Wolves.

LBurnley 1-2 WolvesChampionship
DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship
WWatford 0-4 BurnleyChampionship
DBurnley 1-1 DerbyChampionship
LSwansea 3-1 BurnleyChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lincoln at 13% to win and Burnley at 65%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burnley Win	65%	41%	@ 2.25
Draw	22%	28%	@ 3.30
Lincoln Win	13%	31%	@ 3.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burnley or Draw at 1.36 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burnley or Draw	86%	69%	@ 1.36
Lincoln or Draw	34%	59%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	69%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	53%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	47%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	31%	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	23%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	57%	44%	@ 2.10
BTTS Yes	43%	56%	@ 1.67

📈 How the market moved

Lincoln 31%Draw 27%Burnley 41%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lincoln vs Burnley?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Burnley?

Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 0.7-2.1 scoreline for Lincoln vs Burnley.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Burnley?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-2, based on expected goals of 0.71 for Lincoln and 2.08 for Burnley. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lincoln and Burnley play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.