MallorcaMallorca
Sun 13 Sep2-0Finished
SabadellSabadell

⚽ Segunda División

Mallorca vs Sabadell Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mallorca vs Sabadell in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: Mallorca 2-0 Sabadell

Mallorca vs Sabadell finished 2-0. Mallorca won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.34, landed.

Mallorca face Sabadell in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Mallorca have 2 wins from their last 4, while Sabadell have 2 wins from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mallorca vs Sabadell with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.34
75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 1.10 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 10.8% 11.9% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7%
2 8.6% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Mallorca winDrawSabadell win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Sabadell comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 75% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

50%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Mallorca

Mallorca come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Granada CF.

  • WMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
  • DEldense 0-0 MallorcaSegunda División
  • WMallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • LGranada CF 2-0 MallorcaSegunda División
  • WMallorca 2-0 ValladolidSegunda División
Sabadell

Sabadell come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Oviedo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Mallorca.

  • WSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
  • LMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
  • WSabadell 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
  • WSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
  • DCastellón 0-0 SabadellSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mallorca or Draw at 1.17 (74% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Mallorca or Draw 74% 79% @ 1.17
Sabadell or Draw 52% 49% @ 1.88

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 75% 69% @ 1.34
Under 3.5 72% 76% @ 1.21
Over 2.5 50% 44% @ 2.08
Under 2.5 50% 56% @ 1.64
Over 3.5 28% 24% @ 3.85
Under 1.5 25% 31% @ 2.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 53% 47% @ 1.93
BTTS No 47% 53% @ 1.72

📈 How the market moved

13%37%61%09/0809/0909/1009/1109/1209/13

Mallorca 54%Draw 27%Sabadell 19%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Sabadell?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Sabadell?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Mallorca and 1.10 for Sabadell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mallorca and Sabadell play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.