⚽ Segunda División

Mallorca vs Valladolid Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mallorca vs Valladolid in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Mallorca face Valladolid in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Mallorca won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mallorca win the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 1.7-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mallorca vs Valladolid with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 0.64 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.0%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	16.2%	10.4%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.0%	9.0%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.1%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.5%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Mallorca winDrawValladolid win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mallorca vs Valladolid is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Mallorca win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 1.83 (+12.0% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 1.83, 61% model probability, +12.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Mallorca 64%Draw 23%Valladolid 13%

64%23%13%

64%

Mallorca Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

+12.0%

Best value: BTTS No

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Mallorca and Valladolid. Wins shown from Mallorca’s perspective: Mallorca 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-05-10	Mallorca	2 – 1	Valladolid	W
2024-09-27	Valladolid	1 – 2	Mallorca	W

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mallorca at 64% to win and Valladolid at 13%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Mallorca win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mallorca Win	64%	@ 1.69	+8.0%
Draw	23%	@ 3.70	-15.3%
Valladolid Win	13%	@ 4.80	-36.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mallorca or Draw at 1.17 (85% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mallorca or Draw	85%	@ 1.17	-0.1%
Valladolid or Draw	35%	@ 2.10	-26.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	32%	@ 3.40	+7.1%
Under 2.5	58%	@ 1.83	+5.7%
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.30	+2.0%
Over 1.5	68%	@ 1.30	-11.0%
Over 2.5	42%	@ 1.95	-17.6%
Over 3.5	22%	@ 3.40	-26.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	61%	@ 1.83	+12.0%
BTTS Yes	39%	@ 1.85	-28.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	64%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 2.02 for the home side, 0.83 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Valladolid?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 1.83 (+12.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Valladolid?

Our model makes a Mallorca win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.6 scoreline for Mallorca vs Valladolid.

What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Valladolid?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Mallorca and 0.64 for Valladolid. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mallorca and Valladolid play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.