⚽ Serie B

Mantova vs Empoli Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mantova vs Empoli in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Mantova face Empoli in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Mantova have 3 wins from their last 5, while Empoli have 2 wins from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mantova vs Empoli with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

82%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.39 – 0.82 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	9.0%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
1	15.2%	12.5%	5.1%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.6%	8.7%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.9%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Mantova winDrawEmpoli win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mantova vs Empoli is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (58%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

62%

Under 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Mantova

Mantova come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Alcione. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Athletic Carpi.

WCarrarese 1-2 MantovaSerie B
WLazio 0-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
LMantova 0-1 Athletic CarpiFriendlies Clubs
WLegnago Salus 1-3 MantovaFriendlies Clubs
WMantova 6-2 AlcioneFriendlies Clubs

Empoli

Empoli come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Cremonese. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WEmpoli 1-0 CremoneseSerie B
DPisa 1-1 EmpoliCoppa Italia
DLivorno 1-1 EmpoliFriendlies Clubs
DEmpoli 1-1 SpeziaFriendlies Clubs
WEmpoli 1-0 Virtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mantova or Draw at 1.30 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mantova or Draw	76%	@ 1.30	n/a
Empoli or Draw	48%	@ 1.67	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	65%	@ 1.35	n/a
Under 1.5	35%	@ 3.10	n/a
Over 2.5	38%	@ 2.10	n/a
Under 2.5	62%	@ 1.70	n/a
Over 3.5	18%	@ 3.85	n/a
Under 3.5	82%	@ 1.25	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	42%	@ 1.83	n/a
BTTS No	58%	@ 1.83	n/a

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mantova vs Empoli?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 82% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Empoli?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Mantova and 0.82 for Empoli. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mantova and Empoli play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.