Mantova

Sun 30 Aug3-1Finished

Empoli

⚽ Serie B

Mantova vs Empoli Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mantova vs Empoli in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mantova 3-1 Empoli

Mantova vs Empoli finished 3-1. Mantova won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Mantova face Empoli in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Mantova have 3 wins from their last 5, while Empoli have 2 wins from their last 5. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mantova vs Empoli with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.32

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.40 – 0.81 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	8.9%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
1	15.4%	12.4%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.8%	8.7%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
3	5.0%	4.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.8%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Mantova winDrawEmpoli win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mantova vs Empoli comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 65% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (58%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

62%

Under 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Mantova

Mantova come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Sampdoria. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at Palermo.

DMantova 2-2 PisaSerie B
WMantova 2-0 SampdoriaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
LPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B

Empoli

Empoli come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Carrarese. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Modena.

LModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
LEmpoli 0-1 ArezzoSerie B
WCarrarese 0-1 EmpoliSerie B
LMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B
WEmpoli 1-0 CremoneseSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mantova or Draw at 1.24 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mantova or Draw	77%	74%	@ 1.24
Empoli or Draw	48%	54%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	82%	75%	@ 1.23
Over 1.5	65%	70%	@ 1.32
Under 2.5	62%	55%	@ 1.68
Over 2.5	38%	45%	@ 2.02
Under 1.5	35%	30%	@ 3.10
Over 3.5	18%	25%	@ 3.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	58%	49%	@ 1.87
BTTS Yes	42%	51%	@ 1.77

📈 How the market moved

Mantova 45%Draw 29%Empoli 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mantova vs Empoli?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Empoli?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Mantova and 0.81 for Empoli. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mantova and Empoli play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.