⚽ Serie B

Mantova vs Sampdoria Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mantova vs Sampdoria in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Mantova face Sampdoria in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Mantova have 2 wins from their last 3, while Sampdoria have 0 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mantova win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mantova vs Sampdoria with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Mantova or Draw @ 1.28

75%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 0.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	8.0%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
1	12.6%	12.2%	5.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.3%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.9%	4.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Mantova winDrawSampdoria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mantova vs Sampdoria is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Mantova or Draw at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Mantova win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.44 (+2.3% model value).

Best value

Over 1.5 at odds 1.44, 71% model probability, +2.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Mantova 49%Draw 27%Sampdoria 24%

49%27%24%

49%

Mantova Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

+2.3%

Best value: Over 1.5

📈 Recent form

Mantova

Mantova come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Empoli. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at Palermo.

DCesena 1-1 MantovaSerie B
LPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WMantova 3-1 EmpoliSerie B
WCarrarese 1-2 MantovaSerie B
WLazio 0-2 MantovaCoppa Italia

Sampdoria

Sampdoria come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Parma. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Palermo.

LPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LSampdoria 1-2 Juve StabiaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LCremonese 2-0 SampdoriaCoppa Italia
WParma 0-2 SampdoriaFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mantova at 49% to win and Sampdoria at 24%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Mantova win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mantova Win	49%	@ 2.15	+4.9%
Sampdoria Win	24%	@ 3.60	-11.9%
Draw	27%	@ 3.00	-19.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mantova or Draw at 1.28 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Mantova or Draw	75%	@ 1.28	-4.4%
Sampdoria or Draw	50%	@ 1.67	-15.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.40	+8.9%
Over 3.5	24%	@ 4.50	+8.1%
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.44	+2.3%
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.18	-10.4%
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.53	-16.4%
Under 1.5	29%	@ 2.62	-24.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	48%	@ 2.00	-4.8%
BTTS No	52%	@ 1.75	-8.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Our main pick is Mantova or Draw at odds 1.28, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 1.5 goals at 1.44 (+2.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Our model makes a Mantova win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Mantova vs Sampdoria.

What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Mantova and 0.97 for Sampdoria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mantova and Sampdoria play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.